Donna Vekic vs Jasmine PaoliniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇭🇷Donna Vekic
#36 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
443 meetings · sets 3–4
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#20 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
8wDonna Vekic and Jasmine Paolini have met 3 times since 2021; Jasmine Paolini leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Courmayeur Ladies Open - Courmayeur in 2021 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Paolini has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Vekic has taken 3 sets to Paolini's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Wimbledon - London (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Vekic | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Donna Vekic | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 82% | 18/22 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 11/40 | 38% | 17/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 36% | 12/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 10/14 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 5/9 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 21/28 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 18/28 | 67% | 14/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Vekic 1, Paolini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Vekic
💥 Big Hitter
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 11, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · Semifinals
Aug 7, 2023
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 30, 2021
Courmayeur Ladies Open - Courmayeur
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Vekic | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Donna Vekic | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 5 or more | 60% | 6/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Vekic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.77 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | -7.8% | +35.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.93u | +2.12u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Vekic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 1,709 mi · 2,751 km | — |
| Route | CAN → AUT | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paolini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Vekic's 33%).
| Opponent | Vekic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Viktorija Golubic | L 75 26 36 | W 76 64 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 57 46 | W 64 46 63 |
| Katie Boulter | W 61 63 | W 06 63 63 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 76 63 | W 62 75 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 46 26 | W 67 62 63 |
| Ajla Tomljanovic | W 36 61 64 | W 75 57 61 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 64 26 36 | L 26 36 |
| Cristina Bucsa | L 36 26 | L 57 46 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 26 26 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Ashlyn Krueger
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Alexandra Eala
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 1st Round
Jun 17
Emma Raducanu
The HSBC Championships - London · Final
Jun 14
Katie Boulter
The HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals
Jun 13
Karolina Pliskova
The HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 40–45 matches
| Metric | Vekic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 58% |
| Sets won | 56% | 53% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Vekic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Vekic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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