Donna Vekic vs Jasmine PaoliniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇭🇷Donna Vekic
#36 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 3–4
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Donna Vekic and Jasmine Paolini have met 3 times since 2021; Jasmine Paolini leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Courmayeur Ladies Open - Courmayeur in 2021 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Paolini has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Vekic has taken 3 sets to Paolini's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Wimbledon - London (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Vekic | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Donna Vekic | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 22/29 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 11/22 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 18/51 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 17/34 | 33% | 10/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 76% | 13/17 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 6/12 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 27/37 | 78% | 14/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 22/37 | 56% | 10/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Vekic 1, Paolini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Vekic
🤖 Servebot
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 728 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 11, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · Semifinals
Aug 7, 2023
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 30, 2021
Courmayeur Ladies Open - Courmayeur
H Hard · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Vekic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–6 | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.61 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | -56.3% | -36.5% |
| Units P/L | -4.50u | -1.46u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Vekic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paolini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Vekic's 33%).
| Opponent | Vekic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Talia Gibson | W 62 46 63 | L 57 62 16 |
| Viktorija Golubic | L 75 26 36 | W 76 64 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 57 46 | W 64 46 63 |
| Katie Boulter | W 61 63 | W 06 63 63 |
| Leolia Jeanjean | L 36 63 46 | W 67 62 64 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 46 26 | W 67 62 63 |
| Ajla Tomljanovic | W 36 61 64 | W 75 57 61 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 64 26 36 | L 26 36 |
| Cristina Bucsa | L 36 26 | L 57 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Lin Zhu
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Xin Yu Wang
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 22
Ann Li
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Talia Gibson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Veronika Erjavec
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–51 matches
| Metric | Vekic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 51% |
| Sets won | 57% | 48% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Vekic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Vekic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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