Diana Shnaider vs Katie BoulterPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Diana Shnaider
#13 · 22 yrs · Left-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–1
🇬🇧Katie Boulter
#54 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Diana Shnaider and Katie Boulter have met 2 times since 2024; Diana Shnaider leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong in 2024 on hard. Shnaider has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Shnaider leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Shnaider has taken 4 sets to Boulter's 1. Their most recent meeting: Diana Shnaider won at LTA London Championships - London (2025).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Wuhan Open - Wuhan
- Level
- WTA 1000
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 12 · 10:00 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 3.99 or longer, Katie Boulter has won 3 of 36 (8%). The price implied 18%, so Katie Boulter has fallen 10 points short of it.
At 1.24 or shorter, Diana Shnaider has won 36 of 40 (90%). The price implied 82%, so Diana Shnaider has beaten it by 8 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Katie Boulter meets Diana Shnaider in the 1st Round of the Wuhan Open on October 12 on hard court. Boulter, ranked 54th, has won two of her last ten matches and lost her most recent outing. Shnaider, the 13th seed, has won six of her last ten and also carries a one-match losing streak into Wuhan.
Diana Shnaider leads the head-to-head series 2-0 against Katie Boulter. Recent results against common opponents show divergent patterns. Shnaider defeated Anastasia Potapova and Jessica Pegula while losing to Elena Rybakina and Clara Tauson. Boulter beat Rybakina and Tauson but fell to Potapova and Pegula, with no clear pattern emerging from the shared matchups.
Boulter attacks with heavy groundstrokes and aggressive baseline play, while Shnaider controls points through rhythmic aggression and court positioning. Both players hold 60% records on hard courts in recent play. The match will test whether Boulter can sustain her power game over a full set, and whether Shnaider's consistency and tempo from the front of the court can manage her opponent's inconsistent recent form.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shnaider | Boulter | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Diana Shnaider | Katie Boulter | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 23/33 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 19/55 | 36% | 15/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 22/38 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 7/17 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 8/17 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 26/30 | 79% | 19/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 23/30 | 54% | 13/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shnaider 1, Boulter 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shnaider
🏹 Frontrunner
Boulter
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,247 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 12, 2025
LTA London Championships - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Nov 3, 2024
Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shnaider | Boulter | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Diana Shnaider | Katie Boulter | ||
| 1 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 3 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 5 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–5 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 3.03 |
| ROI % | +9.0% | -36.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.35u | -2.89u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| Distance | 654 mi · 1,053 km | 654 mi · 1,053 km |
| Route | ROU → CZE | ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shnaider has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Boulter's 40%).
| Opponent | Shnaider | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Karolina Muchova | W 26 61 62 | L 67 16 |
| Taylor Townsend | L 26 76 36 | W 64 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 46 | W 75 26 64 |
| Katie Volynets | W 75 75 | W 75 06 64 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 63 63 | L 46 46 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 61 62 | L 75 46 26 |
| Eva Lys | W 75 61 | L 46 63 46 |
| Clara Tauson | L 46 46 | W |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 63 60 | L 76 36 36 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 26 67 | L 06 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ekaterina Alexandrova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Janice Tjen
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Karolina Pliskova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Daria Snigur
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Maja Chwalinska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Mai Hontama
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Karolina Muchova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Carol Young Suh Lee
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Katie Volynets
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Kayla Cross
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Ashlyn Krueger
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–55 matches
| Metric | Shnaider | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 50% |
| Sets won | 58% | 49% |
| Games won | 54% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shnaider | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shnaider | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |