Diana Shnaider vs Karolina PliskovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐บDiana Shnaider
#13 ยท 22 yrs ยท Left-Handed
2 meetings ยท sets 4โ1

๐จ๐ฟKarolina Pliskova
#49 ยท 34 yrs ยท Right-Handed
6wDiana Shnaider and Karolina Pliskova have met 2 times since 2024; Diana Shnaider leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2024 on grass. Shnaider has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Shnaider has taken 4 sets to Pliskova's 1. Their most recent meeting: Diana Shnaider won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shnaider | Pliskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Diana Shnaider | Karolina Pliskova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 25% | 3/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 19/54 | 34% | 11/32 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 21/37 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 7/17 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 8/17 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 25/29 | 93% | 13/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 22/29 | 86% | 12/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shnaider 1, Pliskova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shnaider
๐น Frontrunner
Pliskova
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐น Frontrunner vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 728 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 2, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shnaider | Pliskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Diana Shnaider | Karolina Pliskova | ||
| 1 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10โ5 | 2โ3 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 2.73 |
| ROI % | +9.0% | -35.6% |
| Units P/L | +1.35u | -1.78u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 1 | โ |
| Matches | 2 | โ |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | โ |
| Route | ROU | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Shnaider and Pliskova posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Shnaider | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 63 46 36 | W 61 63 |
| Janice Tjen | W 60 64 | W 64 64 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 46 | L 06 26 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 26 16 | L 16 36 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 36 26 | L 06 26 |
| Oleksandra Oliynykova | W 75 61 | W 64 64 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 61 62 | L 16 76 36 |
| Tereza Valentova | W 76 76 | W 63 64 |
| Talia Gibson | W 57 61 61 | W 75 64 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 76 61 | W 67 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ekaterina Alexandrova
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 4
Janice Tjen
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 4
Karolina Pliskova
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 2
Daria Snigur
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 31
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 20
Maja Chwalinska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 17
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 2
Hanne Vandewinkel
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 30
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Oleksandra Oliynykova
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Iga Swiatek
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Tereza Valentova
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Marie Bouzkova
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham ยท Semifinals
Jun 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 32โ54 matches
| Metric | Shnaider | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 63% |
| Sets won | 57% | 57% |
| Games won | 54% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shnaider | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shnaider | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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