🇨🇦Denis Shapovalov
#41 · 27 yrs · L
3 meetings · sets 8–4
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#172 · 33 yrs · R
Denis Shapovalov and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 3 times since 2020; Denis Shapovalov leads 2–1. Their most recent meeting: Denis Shapovalov won at US Open (2022).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Baena
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 4,745 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Denis Shapovalov.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
3 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 3 or more | 60% | 6/10 | 29% | 5/17 |
| 5 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–6 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 1.65 |
| ROI % | -38.1% | -32.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.43u | -5.13u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Shapovalov and Baena posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 | L 26 26 67 |
| Alex Molcan | L 46 46 | L 60 36 46 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 46 64 36 | L 67 63 57 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 26 46 | L 46 36 |
Last five matches per player
Alex de Minaur
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Marin Cilic
Libema Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Jack Pinnington Jones
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Jaime Faria
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Mariano Navone
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 64
Apr 25
Alex Molcan
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Tallon Griekspoor
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Round of 32
Apr 14
Sebastian Ofner
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Miguel Damas
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Round of 32
Jun 16
Jesper de Jong
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Final
Jun 14
Francesco Forti
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Semifinals
Jun 13
Raul Brancaccio
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Stefano Travaglia
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Round of 16
Jun 11
Max Hans Rehberg
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Round of 32
Jun 10
Gianmarco Ferrari
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Round of 16
Jun 10
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–53 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 53% |
| Sets won | 48% | 50% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 1 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
