Denis Shapovalov vs Roberto Bautista AgutPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇦Denis Shapovalov
#47 · 27 yrs · L
4 meetings · sets 10–1
🇪🇸Roberto Bautista Agut
#230 · 38 yrs · R
9wDenis Shapovalov and Roberto Bautista Agut have met 4 times since 2021; Denis Shapovalov leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2021 on grass. On hard courts Shapovalov leads 3–0. Shapovalov has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 10 sets to Agut's 1. Their most recent meeting: Denis Shapovalov won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Bautista Agut | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Roberto Bautista Agut | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 44% | 8/18 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 5/18 | 33% | 5/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 15/36 | 29% | 7/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 30% | 7/23 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 8/13 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 6/10 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 44% | 8/18 | 64% | 7/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 2, Bautista Agut 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Agut
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 14, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 24, 2024
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 29, 2024
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 5, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Agut | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Roberto Bautista Agut | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 2.38 |
| ROI % | -7.8% | -77.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.86u | -3.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 1,847 mi · 2,972 km | — |
| Route | MEX → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shapovalov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Agut's 29%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 57 64 | L 67 16 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 75 46 36 | L 67 46 36 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 46 26 | L 26 46 |
| Marcos Giron | W 67 60 76 | L 67 57 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 76 62 | W 64 67 64 |
| Valentin Royer | W 76 62 | L 46 67 |
| Christopher O'Connell | W 63 62 | W 57 63 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Adrian Mannarino
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Final
Aug 1
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rinky Hijikata
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Pablo Carreno Busta
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Joao Fonseca
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Benito Sanchez Martinez
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Marcos Giron
Boss Open - Stuttgart · 1st Round
Jun 9
Hynek Barton
Prostejov Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Brandon Nakashima
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Zizou Bergs
Valencia Challenger · 2nd Round
May 14
Pedro Martinez
Valencia Challenger · 1st Round
May 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–39 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 32% |
| Sets won | 43% | 36% |
| Games won | 49% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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