Denis Shapovalov vs Jan-Lennard StruffPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Denis Shapovalov and Jan-Lennard Struff have met 10 times since 2018; Jan-Lennard Struff leads 7–3. Their first meeting came at Tokyo in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Struff leads 4–3. On clay courts Struff leads 2–0. Struff has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 10 sets to Struff's 17. Their most recent meeting: Jan-Lennard Struff won at Davis Cup, World Group, QF, GER-CAN 2-0 (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Struff | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Jan-Lennard Struff | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 10/22 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 18/39 | 44% | 21/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 9/26 | 32% | 8/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 45% | 10/22 | 64% | 14/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 9 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 1, Struff 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Struff
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
10 career meetings, newest first
Nov 20, 2024
Davis Cup, World Group, QF, GER-CAN 2-0
H Hard · Rubber 2
Nov 24, 2022
Davis Cup, Finals, QF, GER-CAN 1-2
H Hard · Rubber 1
Jan 6, 2022
ATP Cup - Sydney
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 29, 2021
St. Petersburg Open - St. Petersburg
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 16, 2021
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 24, 2020
Western & Southern Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 7, 2019
Stuttgart
G Grass · Round of 32
May 28, 2019
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 128
Apr 6, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 64
Oct 5, 2018
Tokyo
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Struff | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Jan-Lennard Struff | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 10 or more | 41% | 7/17 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.15 | 2.86 |
| ROI % | +12.3% | -16.9% |
| Units P/L | +2.09u | -1.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 4 |
| Distance | 2,080 mi · 3,347 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shapovalov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (30% vs Struff's 10%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 75 36 64 | L 36 46 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 76 36 36 | W 36 67 76 75 42 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 62 63 | L 64 26 62 36 16 |
| Mariano Navone | L 46 26 | L 06 36 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 36 26 | L 57 67 36 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 36 67 | L 46 67 |
| Jaime Faria | L 46 57 46 | L 57 67 26 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 46 64 36 | L 63 46 67 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 57 36 | L 36 61 16 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 26 76 | L 67 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sho Shimabukuro
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Vit Kopriva
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Tallon Griekspoor
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Daniil Medvedev
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Martin Landaluce
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Thiago Agustin Tirante
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Francisco Cerundolo
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Alejandro Tabilo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–58 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 50% |
| Sets won | 52% | 51% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| Other | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Cup | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 4 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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