Head-to-Head

Denis Shapovalov vs Hugo GastonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇨🇦Denis Shapovalov

#47 · 27 yrs · L

2–1

3 meetings · sets 5–2

🇫🇷Hugo Gaston

#88 · 25 yrs · L

3Beat 3 favorites

Denis Shapovalov and Hugo Gaston have met 3 times since 2024; Denis Shapovalov leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Open Sud de France - Montpellier in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Shapovalov leads 2–1. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 5 sets to Gaston's 2. Their most recent meeting: Denis Shapovalov won at Rotterdam (2024).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

Indicator	Shapovalov	Gaston
Indicator	Denis Shapovalov		Hugo Gaston
Wins in straight sets	44%	8/18	63%	22/35
Wins a set when losing	28%	5/18	36%	8/22
Goes to a deciding set	42%	15/36	37%	21/57
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite	30%	7/23	49%	17/35
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog	62%	8/13	57%	12/21
Tiebreak sets won	60%	6/10	63%	10/16
Wins after taking set 1	83%	15/18	90%	27/30
Wins 2-0 after taking set 1	44%	8/18	73%	22/30

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 2, Gaston 0).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Shapovalov

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Gaston

🪃 Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance

Matchup analysis

💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

3 career meetings, newest first

Feb 11, 2024

Rotterdam

H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying

Shapovalov

Feb 6, 2024

Open 13 Provence - Marseille

H Hard · 1st Round

Gaston

Jan 30, 2024

Open Sud de France - Montpellier

H Hard · 1st Round

Shapovalov

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

Outcome	Shapovalov	Gaston
Outcome	Denis Shapovalov		Hugo Gaston
1 or more	100%	10/10	77%	10/13
3 or more	80%	8/10	46%	6/13
5 or more	70%	7/10	15%	2/13
10 or more	0%	0/10	0%	0/13
15 or more	0%	0/10	0%	0/13
20 or more	0%	0/10	0%	0/13

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Shapovalov	Gaston
W-L	6–5	10–6
Avg odds	2.01	1.96
ROI %	-7.8%	+7.8%
Units P/L	-0.86u	+1.24u

Travel

Last 30 days

Metric	Shapovalov	Gaston
Countries	2	1
Events	2	1
Matches	5	2
Distance	1,847 mi · 2,972 km	0 mi · 0 km
Route	MEX → USA	CAN

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Shapovalov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Gaston's 20%).

Opponent	Shapovalov	Gaston
Cameron Norrie	W 63 57 64	L 36 46
Daniel Altmaier	L 57 36	L 26 57
Stefanos Tsitsipas	W 62 36 64	L 16 46 26
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	L 26 16	W 64 36 61
Christopher O'Connell	W 63 62	L 26 36

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Shapovalov

LWLWWWWL

Rafael Jodar

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

Aug 16

Adrian Mannarino

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round

Aug 13

Arthur Gea

Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Final

Aug 1

Cameron Norrie

Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals

Jul 31

Dalibor Svrcina

Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals

Jul 31

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round

Jul 30

Rinky Hijikata

Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round

Jul 29

Pablo Carreno Busta

Wimbledon · Round of 128

6⁷7⁹

Jun 30

Gaston

LWLWWLLW

Luca Van Assche

Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals

Aug 22

Jesper de Jong

Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals

76²

Aug 21

Luca Van Assche

Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Semifinals

Jul 25

Tiago Torres

Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals

Jul 24

Titouan Droguet

Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round

Jul 22

Daniel Altmaier

Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round

Jul 14

Jan Choinski

Braunschweig Challenger · Final

Jul 12

Facundo Diaz Acosta

Braunschweig Challenger · Semifinals

76⁴

Jul 11

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ ShapovalovShapovalov ahead↓ Gaston

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–61 matches

Metric	Shapovalov	Gaston
Matches won	46%	61%
Sets won	43%	56%
Games won	49%	52%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

Stage	Shapovalov	Gaston
ATP 500	1	0
ATP World Tour 250	1	1

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

Surface	Shapovalov	Gaston
Hard	2	1

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Denis Shapovalov vs Hugo Gaston FAQ

Denis Shapovalov leads the head-to-head 2–1 over 3 meetings.

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Style Matchup

Previous meetings

Prop Research

Player ROI

Travel

Common opponents

Recent Form

Rivalry momentum

Win rate

Record by tier

By surface

More Shapovalov rivalries

More Gaston rivalries

Denis Shapovalov vs Hugo Gaston FAQ

Who leads the Denis Shapovalov vs Hugo Gaston head-to-head?

Who won the last Denis Shapovalov vs Hugo Gaston match?

How many times have Denis Shapovalov and Hugo Gaston played?

Who leads the Denis Shapovalov vs Hugo Gaston head-to-head on hard courts?

When did Denis Shapovalov and Hugo Gaston last play each other?