Dayana Yastremska vs Elena RybakinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Dayana Yastremska
#103 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 2–6
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#1 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
Dayana Yastremska and Elena Rybakina have met 3 times since 2025; Elena Rybakina leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Rybakina leads 3–0. Rybakina has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Yastremska has taken 2 sets to Rybakina's 6. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Ningbo Open - Ningbo (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Yastremska | Rybakina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dayana Yastremska | Elena Rybakina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 67% | 40/60 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 15/42 | 38% | 27/72 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 7/21 | 61% | 39/64 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 12/17 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 18/23 | 92% | 47/51 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 14/23 | 78% | 40/51 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Yastremska 0, Rybakina 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Yastremska
💥 Big Hitter
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 16, 2025
Ningbo Open - Ningbo
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 2, 2025
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · 4th Round
Jan 18, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Yastremska | Rybakina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dayana Yastremska | Elena Rybakina | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 94% | 15/16 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 31% | 5/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 15–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.17 | 1.47 |
| ROI % | -14.7% | +28.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | +4.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Yastremska's 20%).
| Opponent | Yastremska | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Caty Mcnally | W 63 64 | W 61 62 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | L 36 76 26 | W 62 64 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 16 | W 64 64 |
| Tatjana Maria | L 16 26 | W 67 75 60 |
| Ann Li | W 75 46 63 | W 62 75 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 57 64 57 | L 57 46 |
| Ajla Tomljanovic | L 64 46 57 | W 62 60 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 57 36 | W 63 62 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 16 46 | L 62 46 46 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 64 46 46 | W 46 63 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sinja Kraus
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maja Chwalinska
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Caty Mcnally
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Janice Tjen
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Aoi Ito
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Thea Frodin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–72 matches
| Metric | Yastremska | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 83% |
| Sets won | 48% | 74% |
| Games won | 48% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Yastremska | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Yastremska | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
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