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Head-to-Head

Dayana Yastremska vs Elena RybakinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Dayana Yastremska and Elena Rybakina have met 3 times since 2025; Elena Rybakina leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Rybakina leads 3–0. Rybakina has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Yastremska has taken 2 sets to Rybakina's 6. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Ningbo Open - Ningbo (2025).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months

IndicatorYastremskaRybakina
Wins in straight sets71%68%
Wins a set when losing41%62%
Goes to a deciding set36%37%
Covers βˆ’1.5 sets as favorite37%60%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog58%71%
Tiebreak sets won71%53%
Wins after taking set 176%94%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 157%80%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Yastremska 0, Rybakina 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Yastremska

πŸ’₯ Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies
vs

Rybakina

πŸ€– Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Matchup analysis

πŸ’₯ Big Hitter vs πŸ€– Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

3 career meetings, newest first

Oct 16, 2025

Ningbo Open - Ningbo

H Hard Β· 2nd Round

46
766
36
Rybakina

Aug 2, 2025

Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal

H Hard Β· 4th Round

75
26
57
Rybakina

Jan 18, 2025

Australian Open - Melbourne

H Hard Β· 3rd Round

36
46
Rybakina

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days

OutcomeYastremskaRybakina
1 or more75%100%
3 or more50%73%
5 or more13%73%
10 or more0%27%
15 or more0%13%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days

MetricYastremskaRybakina
W-L3–511–3
Avg odds1.791.32
ROI %-51.6%+6.4%
Units P/L-4.13u+0.90u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricYastremskaRybakina
Countries22
Events22
Matches28
Distance1,304 mi Β· 2,098 km411 mi Β· 662 km
RoutePOL β†’ AUTCAN β†’ POL

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months

Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Yastremska's 20%).

OpponentYastremskaRybakina
Diana Shnaider
L
36
16
W
64
64
Tatjana Maria
L
16
26
W
67
75
60
Ann Li
W
75
46
63
W
62
75
Alexandra Eala
L
57
64
57
L
57
46
Ajla Tomljanovic
L
64
46
57
W
62
60
Jasmine Paolini
L
57
36
W
63
62
Elina Svitolina
L
16
46
L
62
46
46
Elena Gabriela Ruse
L
64
46
46
W
46
63
75
Leylah Fernandez
W
61
62
W
67
64
76
Jessica Pegula
L
75
26
36
W
26
63
64

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Yastremska
LLLWLWLW
L

Janice Tjen

Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· 1st Round

62
36
657

Aug 25

L

Tatjana Maria

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round

16
26

Aug 13

L

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round

36
761
26

Jul 1

W

Aoi Ito

Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round

761
46
75

Jun 29

L

Tatjana Maria

Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham Β· 2nd Round

16
26

Jun 17

W

Alicia Dudeney

Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham Β· 1st Round

64
762

Jun 16

L

Ajla Tomljanovic

Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch Β· 2nd Round

64
46
57

Jun 12

W

Sara Bejlek

Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch Β· 1st Round

61
62

Jun 9

Rybakina
WWWWWWWW
W

Diana Shnaider

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round

64
64

Aug 20

W

Magdalena Frech

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round

64
762

Aug 17

W

Taylor Townsend

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round

63
64

Aug 16

W

Coco Gauff

National Bank Open - Toronto Β· Semifinals

57
62
62

Aug 13

W

Naomi Osaka

National Bank Open - Toronto Β· Quarterfinals

46
765
64

Aug 12

W

Liudmila Samsonova

National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 4th Round

64
46
64

Aug 9

W

Ann Li

National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round

62
75

Aug 7

W

Daria Kasatkina

National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round

63
57
64

Aug 5

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ YastremskaRybakina ahead↓ Rybakina

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 39–70 matches

MetricYastremskaRybakina
Matches won44%81%
Sets won47%73%
Games won48%58%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageYastremskaRybakina
Grand Slam01
WTA 50001
WTA 100001

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceYastremskaRybakina
Hard03

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Dayana Yastremska vs Elena Rybakina FAQ

Elena Rybakina leads the head-to-head 3–0 over 3 meetings.