David Goffin vs Rafael NadalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
David Goffin and Rafael Nadal have met 7 times since 2017; Rafael Nadal leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo in 2017 on clay. On clay courts Nadal leads 5–0. On hard courts Goffin leads 2–0. Across all meetings Goffin has taken 6 sets to Nadal's 12. Their most recent meeting: Rafael Nadal won at ATP Masters 1000 Madrid (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Goffin | Nadal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | David Goffin | Rafael Nadal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 5/8 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 7/14 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 10/22 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 14% | 1/7 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 11/15 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 25% | 2/8 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 6/9 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 5/9 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Goffin 1, Nadal 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Goffin
💥 Big Hitter
Nadal
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both David Goffin and Rafael Nadal are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
May 5, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Round of 16
Jan 9, 2020
ATP Cup
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 31, 2019
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 32
Apr 24, 2018
Barcelona
C Clay · Semifinals
Nov 6, 2017
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
May 11, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 19, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Goffin | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–1 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.68 | - |
| ROI % | -100.0% | - |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andrea Guerrieri
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Toby Samuel
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 20
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Thomas Faurel
Aix En Provence Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 29
Emilio Nava
BMW Open by Bitpanda · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 11
Emilio Nava
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 5
Ignacio Buse
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 4
Roberto Bautista Agut
Cap Cana Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 11
Nuno Borges
Bastad · Final
Jul 21
Duje Ajdukovic
Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 20
Mariano Navone
Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 19
Cameron Norrie
Bastad · Round of 16
Jul 18
Leo Borg
Bastad · Round of 32
Jul 16
Alexander Zverev
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 28
Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Masters 1000 Rome · Round of 64
May 11
Zizou Bergs
ATP Masters 1000 Rome · Round of 128
May 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 22–22 matches
| Metric | Goffin | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 36% | - |
| Sets won | 43% | - |
| Games won | 48% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Goffin | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 3 |
| Other | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Goffin | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 5 |
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