David Goffin vs Rafael NadalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
David Goffin and Rafael Nadal have met 7 times since 2017; Rafael Nadal leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo in 2017 on clay. On clay courts Nadal leads 5–0. On hard courts Goffin leads 2–0. Across all meetings Goffin has taken 6 sets to Nadal's 12. Their most recent meeting: Rafael Nadal won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Goffin | Nadal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | David Goffin | Rafael Nadal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 3/4 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 5/14 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 6/18 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 17% | 1/6 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 6/12 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 29% | 2/7 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 50% | 3/6 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 3/6 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Goffin 1, Nadal 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Goffin
💥 Big Hitter
Nadal
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward David Goffin.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
May 5, 2022
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Jan 10, 2020
ATP Cup - Brisbane, Perth, Sydney
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 31, 2019
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 32
Apr 24, 2018
Barcelona
C Clay · Semifinals
Nov 6, 2017
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
May 11, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 19, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Goffin | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–2 | - |
| Avg odds | 3.54 | - |
| ROI % | -100.0% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.00u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Goffin | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 461 mi · 742 km | — |
| Route | FRA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Clement Chidekh
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Mark Lajal
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Andrea Guerrieri
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Toby Samuel
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 20
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Thomas Faurel
Aix En Provence Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 29
Emilio Nava
BMW Open by Bitpanda · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 11
Emilio Nava
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 5
Botic van de Zandschulp
Davis Cup, World Group, QF, NED-ESP 2-1 · Rubber 1
Nov 19
Novak Djokovic
Olympics - Paris · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Marton Fucsovics
Olympics - Paris · 1st Round
Jul 28
Nuno Borges
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 21
Duje Ajdukovic
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 20
Mariano Navone
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 19
Cameron Norrie
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 18
Leo Borg
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 18–18 matches
| Metric | Goffin | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 22% | - |
| Sets won | 31% | - |
| Games won | 44% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Goffin | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 3 |
| ATP Cup | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Goffin | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 5 |
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