Daria Kasatkina vs Sorana CirsteaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#59 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 4–6
🇷🇴Sorana Cirstea
#17 · 36 yrs · Right-Handed
Daria Kasatkina and Sorana Cirstea have met 5 times since 2018; Sorana Cirstea leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Madrid in 2018 on clay. On hard courts Cirstea leads 2–1. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Cirstea has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 4 sets to Cirstea's 6. Their most recent meeting: Sorana Cirstea won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | 76% | 29/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | 32% | 18/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 28% | 7/25 | 71% | 27/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | 79% | 11/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | 92% | 34/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 78% | 29/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 2, Cirstea 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Cirstea
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 7,380 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Feb 17, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 24, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 9, 2024
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 4, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
May 9, 2018
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 44% | 4/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | -51.7% | -38.7% |
| Units P/L | -5.17u | -3.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cirstea has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Kasatkina's 25%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 67 60 36 | W 76 63 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 16 36 | L 36 64 26 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 06 57 | W 26 63 75 |
| Daria Snigur | L 36 63 67 | W 60 63 |
| Elise Mertens | W 64 60 | W 63 62 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 75 16 16 | L 36 26 |
| Moyuka Uchijima | W 46 63 60 | W 26 64 62 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 57 64 46 | W 75 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Nikola Bartunkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kimberly Birrell
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Sara Bejlek
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Emma Raducanu
The HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Maddison Inglis
The HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–56 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 68% |
| Sets won | 47% | 65% |
| Games won | 49% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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