Daria Kasatkina vs Sorana CirsteaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#82 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 4–6
🇷🇴Sorana Cirstea
#16 · 36 yrs · Right-Handed
5wDaria Kasatkina and Sorana Cirstea have met 5 times since 2018; Sorana Cirstea leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Madrid in 2018 on clay. On hard courts Cirstea leads 2–1. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Cirstea has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 4 sets to Cirstea's 6. Their most recent meeting: Sorana Cirstea won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 11/21 | 78% | 32/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 51% | 21/41 | 30% | 17/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 9/29 | 75% | 30/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 93% | 37/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 80% | 32/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 2, Cirstea 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Cirstea
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,583 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sorana Cirstea.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Feb 17, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 24, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 9, 2024
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 4, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
May 9, 2018
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 4–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | 1.98 |
| ROI % | -31.7% | -20.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.49u | -1.40u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km | — |
| Route | SGP → ROU → CZE | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cirstea has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Kasatkina's 30%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Viktorija Golubic | W 46 76 64 | W 62 26 62 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | L 57 06 | W 63 76 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 46 16 | W |
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 67 60 36 | W 76 63 |
| Xinyu Wang | W 16 76 75 | W |
| Naomi Osaka | L 16 36 | L 36 64 26 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 06 57 | W 26 63 75 |
| Daria Snigur | L 36 63 67 | W 60 63 |
| Elise Mertens | W 64 60 | W 63 62 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 57 64 46 | W 75 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Viktorija Golubic
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Jasmine Paolini
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Diane Parry
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Julia Grabher
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Anna Kalinskaya
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Nikola Bartunkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–57 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 72% |
| Sets won | 51% | 69% |
| Games won | 51% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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