Daria Kasatkina vs Shelby RogersPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#59 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 5–3
🇺🇸Shelby Rogers
Unranked · 33 yrs · Right-Handed
105wDaria Kasatkina and Shelby Rogers have met 3 times since 2017; Daria Kasatkina leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Miami in 2017 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Kasatkina has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Kasatkina leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 5 sets to Rogers's 3. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at Mubadala Silicon Valley Classic - San Jose (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Rogers | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Shelby Rogers | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 28% | 7/25 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 1, Rogers 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Rogers
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,880 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Shelby Rogers.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 7, 2022
Mubadala Silicon Valley Classic - San Jose
H Hard · Final
May 28, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Mar 22, 2017
Miami
H Hard · Round of 64
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | - |
| ROI % | -51.7% | - |
| Units P/L | -5.17u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 27
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 6
Robin Montgomery
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Qinwen Zheng
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 9
Lisa Pigato
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round
May 7
Marketa Vondrousova
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 2nd Round
Apr 26
Shuai Zhang
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 24
Veronika Kudermetova
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston · 2nd Round
Apr 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–35 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | - |
| Sets won | 47% | - |
| Games won | 49% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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