Daria Kasatkina vs Katie BoulterPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#59 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇬🇧Katie Boulter
#60 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Daria Kasatkina and Katie Boulter have met 2 times since 2021; Daria Kasatkina leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Kasatkina leads 2–0. Kasatkina has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 4 sets to Boulter's 0. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at Phillip Island Trophy - Melbourne (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Boulter | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Katie Boulter | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | 38% | 15/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 28% | 7/25 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 52% | 12/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 2, Boulter 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Boulter
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,880 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Katie Boulter.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 13, 2021
Phillip Island Trophy - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 8, 2021
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Boulter | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Katie Boulter | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 30% | 3/10 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | -51.7% | +3.4% |
| Units P/L | -5.17u | +0.31u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Boulter has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Kasatkina's 40%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 75 46 | W 75 26 64 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | L 67 63 26 | W 61 63 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 57 64 46 | L 75 46 26 |
| Tamara Korpatsch | W 26 63 75 | W 57 62 61 |
| Moyuka Uchijima | W 46 63 60 | W 62 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Katie Volynets
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Kayla Cross
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Ashlyn Krueger
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Tyra Caterina Grant
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Leylah Fernandez
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 21
Donna Vekic
The HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals
Jun 13
Elena Rybakina
The HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–40 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 50% |
| Sets won | 47% | 49% |
| Games won | 49% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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