Daria Kasatkina vs Katie BoulterPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#82 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇬🇧Katie Boulter
#54 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Daria Kasatkina and Katie Boulter have met 2 times since 2021; Daria Kasatkina leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Kasatkina leads 2–0. Kasatkina has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 4 sets to Boulter's 0. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at Phillip Island Trophy - Melbourne (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Boulter | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Katie Boulter | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 11/21 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 51% | 21/41 | 36% | 15/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 9/29 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 79% | 19/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 54% | 13/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 2, Boulter 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Boulter
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Katie Boulter.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 13, 2021
Phillip Island Trophy - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 8, 2021
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Boulter | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Katie Boulter | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | 3.03 |
| ROI % | -31.7% | -36.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.49u | -2.89u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU → CZE | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Boulter has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Kasatkina's 50%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Viktorija Golubic | W 46 76 64 | W 62 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 75 46 | W 75 26 64 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | L 67 63 26 | W 61 63 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 57 64 46 | L 75 46 26 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 64 62 | L 36 63 46 |
| Tamara Korpatsch | W 26 63 75 | W 57 62 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Viktorija Golubic
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Mai Hontama
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Karolina Muchova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Carol Young Suh Lee
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Katie Volynets
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Kayla Cross
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Ashlyn Krueger
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–42 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 50% |
| Sets won | 51% | 49% |
| Games won | 51% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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