Daria Kasatkina vs Karolina PliskovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#82 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 5–5
🇨🇿Karolina Pliskova
#49 · 34 yrs · Right-Handed
6wDaria Kasatkina and Karolina Pliskova have met 4 times since 2016; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Indian Wells in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Pliskova leads 2–0. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 5 sets to Pliskova's 5. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at Rothesay International - Eastbourne (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Pliskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Karolina Pliskova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 11/21 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 25% | 3/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 51% | 21/41 | 34% | 11/32 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 9/29 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 93% | 13/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 86% | 12/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 1, Pliskova 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Pliskova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,089 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 28, 2023
Rothesay International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 2nd Round
Oct 5, 2016
Beijing
H Hard · Round of 32
May 11, 2016
Rome
C Clay · Round of 64
Mar 11, 2016
Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Pliskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Karolina Pliskova | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | 2.73 |
| ROI % | -31.7% | -35.6% |
| Units P/L | -3.49u | -1.78u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km | — |
| Route | SGP → ROU → CZE | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pliskova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Kasatkina's 30%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | L 57 06 | W 64 64 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 75 46 | L 06 26 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 75 16 16 | L 16 36 |
| Janice Tjen | W 67 61 64 | W 64 64 |
| Mccartney Kessler | L 36 67 | W 67 63 64 |
| Caty Mcnally | L 26 36 | W 64 76 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | L 67 63 26 | W 67 76 64 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 64 62 | L 64 26 26 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 63 | W 61 64 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 57 64 46 | L 16 76 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Viktorija Golubic
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Diana Shnaider
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Hanne Vandewinkel
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Oleksandra Oliynykova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Iga Swiatek
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Tereza Valentova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Marie Bouzkova
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · Semifinals
Jun 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 32–41 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 63% |
| Sets won | 51% | 57% |
| Games won | 51% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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