Daria Kasatkina vs Karolina PliskovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#59 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 5–5
🇨🇿Karolina Pliskova
#56 · 34 yrs · Right-Handed
Daria Kasatkina and Karolina Pliskova have met 4 times since 2016; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Indian Wells in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Pliskova leads 2–0. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 5 sets to Pliskova's 5. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at Rothesay International - Eastbourne (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Pliskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Karolina Pliskova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | 35% | 11/31 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 28% | 7/25 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | 88% | 14/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 75% | 12/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 1, Pliskova 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Pliskova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,880 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Karolina Pliskova.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 28, 2023
Rothesay International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 2nd Round
Oct 5, 2016
Beijing
H Hard · Round of 32
May 11, 2016
Rome
C Clay · Round of 64
Mar 11, 2016
Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Pliskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Karolina Pliskova | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 64% | 7/11 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | -51.7% | -13.6% |
| Units P/L | -5.17u | -1.50u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pliskova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Kasatkina's 40%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 75 46 | L 06 26 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 75 16 16 | L 16 36 |
| Janice Tjen | W 67 61 64 | W 64 64 |
| Mccartney Kessler | L 36 67 | W 67 63 64 |
| Caty Mcnally | L 26 36 | W 64 76 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | L 67 63 26 | W 67 76 64 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 63 | W 61 64 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 57 64 46 | L 16 76 36 |
| Elise Mertens | W 64 60 | W 75 26 76 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 76 64 | W 64 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Oleksandra Oliynykova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Iga Swiatek
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Tereza Valentova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Marie Bouzkova
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · Semifinals
Jun 20
Talia Gibson
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Caty Mcnally
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–35 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 61% |
| Sets won | 47% | 58% |
| Games won | 49% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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