Daria Kasatkina vs Iga SwiatekPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#59 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
8 meetings · sets 3–15
🇵🇱Iga Swiatek
#8 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
Daria Kasatkina and Iga Swiatek have met 8 times since 2021; Iga Swiatek leads 7–1. Their first meeting came at Eastbourne International - Eastbourne in 2021 on grass. On hard courts Swiatek leads 6–0. Swiatek has won the last 7 meetings. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 3 sets to Swiatek's 15. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Iga Swiatek | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | 80% | 35/44 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | 33% | 20/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 28% | 7/25 | 58% | 34/59 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | 87% | 39/45 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 78% | 35/45 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 0, Swiatek 6).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 6,005 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Iga Swiatek.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Feb 11, 2026
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 3rd Round
Nov 7, 2024
WTA Finals - Riyadh
H Hard · Round Robin
Nov 1, 2022
WTA Finals - Fort Worth
H Hard · Round Robin
Jun 2, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Semifinals
Feb 23, 2022
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 14, 2022
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 22, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jun 23, 2021
Eastbourne International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Iga Swiatek | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 10–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | 1.24 |
| ROI % | -51.7% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | -5.17u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 9 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (89% vs Kasatkina's 44%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Maria Sakkari | W 76 64 | W 46 61 61 |
| Emiliana Arango | W 62 36 76 | W 63 60 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 75 46 | L 57 16 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 46 16 | W 61 16 61 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 16 36 | W 62 61 |
| Janice Tjen | W 67 61 64 | W 60 63 |
| Caty Mcnally | L 26 36 | W 61 67 63 |
| Daria Snigur | L 36 63 67 | W 61 62 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 63 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Maria Sakkari
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Emiliana Arango
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–61 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 72% |
| Sets won | 47% | 70% |
| Games won | 49% | 60% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA Finals | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 6 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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