Daniel Evans vs Denis ShapovalovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Evans and Denis Shapovalov have met 5 times since 2016; Denis Shapovalov leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Drummondville in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Shapovalov leads 3–2. Shapovalov has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Evans has taken 5 sets to Shapovalov's 7. Their most recent meeting: Denis Shapovalov won at Davis Cup, Group D, Manchester (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Evans | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Evans | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 2/2 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 2/6 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 2/8 | 46% | 18/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/1 | 35% | 9/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 1/2 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 2/3 | 82% | 18/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 2/3 | 45% | 10/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Evans 1, Shapovalov 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Evans
🏹 Frontrunner
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,017 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Sep 15, 2024
Davis Cup, Group D, Manchester
H Hard · Rubber 1
Oct 28, 2022
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 4, 2022
ATP Cup - Sydney
H Hard · Round Robin
Mar 9, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 64
Mar 17, 2016
Drummondville
H Hard · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Evans | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 12–5 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.15 |
| ROI % | - | +12.3% |
| Units P/L | - | +2.09u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Evans | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 7 |
| Distance | — | 2,080 mi · 3,347 km |
| Route | — | CHN → JPN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shapovalov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Evans's 0%).
| Opponent | Evans | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Marcos Giron | L 57 62 16 | W 67 60 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tristan Schoolkate
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Marcos Giron
HSBC Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Charles Broom
Lexus Ilkley Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
James Watt
Lexus Ilkley Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Bruno Kuzuhara
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Daniel Jade
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Rei Sakamoto
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 12
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sho Shimabukuro
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Vit Kopriva
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Tallon Griekspoor
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 8–45 matches
| Metric | Evans | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 25% | 56% |
| Sets won | 33% | 52% |
| Games won | 44% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Evans | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Cup | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Evans | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
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