Daniel Evans vs Denis ShapovalovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Evans and Denis Shapovalov have met 5 times since 2016; Denis Shapovalov leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Drummondville in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Shapovalov leads 3–2. Shapovalov has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Evans has taken 5 sets to Shapovalov's 7. Their most recent meeting: Denis Shapovalov won at Davis Cup, Group D, Manchester (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Evans | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Evans | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 4/5 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 3/10 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 2/3 | 30% | 7/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 4/6 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 2/3 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 4/5 | 83% | 15/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 4/5 | 44% | 8/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Evans 1, Shapovalov 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Evans
🎾 All-Court
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎾 All-Court vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 620 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Sep 15, 2024
Davis Cup, Group D, Manchester
H Hard · Rubber 1
Oct 28, 2022
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 4, 2022
ATP Cup - Sydney
H Hard · Round Robin
Mar 9, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 64
Mar 17, 2016
Drummondville
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Evans | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Evans | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 3/3 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 2/3 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 2/3 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 1/3 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Evans | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–3 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.55 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -47.5% | -7.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.90u | -0.86u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Evans | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 1,847 mi · 2,972 km |
| Route | — | MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shapovalov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Evans's 0%).
| Opponent | Evans | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Marcos Giron | L 57 62 16 | W 67 60 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Tristan Schoolkate
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Marcos Giron
HSBC Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Charles Broom
Lexus Ilkley Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
James Watt
Lexus Ilkley Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Bruno Kuzuhara
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Daniel Jade
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Oliver Crawford
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 11
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Adrian Mannarino
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Final
Aug 1
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rinky Hijikata
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Pablo Carreno Busta
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 10–38 matches
| Metric | Evans | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 47% |
| Sets won | 52% | 44% |
| Games won | 50% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Evans | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Cup | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Evans | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
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