Daniel Elahi Galan vs Lorenzo MusettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Elahi Galan and Lorenzo Musetti have met 4 times since 2022; Lorenzo Musetti leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Tennis Napoli Open - Naples in 2022 on hard. On clay courts Musetti leads 3–0. Musetti has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Galan has taken 0 sets to Musetti's 10. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at French Open - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Elahi Galan | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Elahi Galan | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 12/21 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 9/25 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 18/46 | 26% | 12/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 3/9 | 59% | 20/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 92% | 12/13 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 11/24 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 15/21 | 90% | 26/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 12/21 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Elahi Galan 0, Musetti 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Galan
🎾 All-Court
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🎾 All-Court across 222 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lorenzo Musetti.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 28, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 27, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
May 4, 2024
Cagliari Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Oct 21, 2022
Tennis Napoli Open - Naples
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Galan | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Elahi Galan | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 68% | 13/19 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 9/19 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Galan | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–3 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.74 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | +34.3% | -18.1% |
| Units P/L | +4.45u | -1.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Galan | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 7 |
| Distance | 604 mi · 972 km | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km |
| Route | GER → ITA | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Galan's 0%).
| Opponent | Galan | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Dino Prizmic | L 16 26 | W 75 36 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Federico Agustin Gomez
Todi Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Murkel Dellien
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 10
Unknown Player
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Max Dahlin
Bonn Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Max Hans Rehberg
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Pavel Kotov
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Tampere Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
Kimmer Coppejans
Bunschoten Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Nicolas Mejia
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–52 matches
| Metric | Galan | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 65% |
| Sets won | 46% | 62% |
| Games won | 48% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Galan | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Galan | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 3 |
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