Daniel Elahi Galan vs Lorenzo MusettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Elahi Galan and Lorenzo Musetti have met 4 times since 2022; Lorenzo Musetti leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Tennis Napoli Open - Naples in 2022 on hard. On clay courts Musetti leads 3–0. Musetti has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Galan has taken 0 sets to Musetti's 10. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at French Open - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Elahi Galan | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Elahi Galan | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 14/23 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 11/25 | 25% | 4/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 20/48 | 26% | 10/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 27% | 3/11 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 78% | 14/18 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 11/24 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 17/24 | 86% | 19/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 14/24 | 73% | 16/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Elahi Galan 0, Musetti 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Galan
🏹 Frontrunner
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,017 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 28, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 27, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
May 4, 2024
Cagliari Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Oct 21, 2022
Tennis Napoli Open - Naples
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Galan | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Elahi Galan | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 73% | 8/11 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Galan | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–5 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 1.50 |
| ROI % | +7.1% | -28.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.71u | -3.16u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Galan | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | 910 mi · 1,465 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | POL → BUL | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Calvin Hemery
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Szczecin Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Marko Topo
Tulln Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Federico Agustin Gomez
Todi Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Murkel Dellien
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 10
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Unknown Player
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Arthur Fery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–48 matches
| Metric | Galan | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 60% |
| Sets won | 49% | 59% |
| Games won | 49% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Galan | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Galan | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 3 |
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