Daniel Altmaier vs Lorenzo MusettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Altmaier and Lorenzo Musetti have met 4 times since 2020; Lorenzo Musetti leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Trieste Challenger in 2020 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. On hard courts Musetti leads 2–0. Musetti has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Altmaier has taken 3 sets to Musetti's 6. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Altmaier | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Altmaier | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 16/25 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 6/30 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 15/55 | 26% | 12/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 6/15 | 59% | 20/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 20/35 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 9/19 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 19/21 | 90% | 26/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 16/21 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Altmaier 1, Musetti 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Altmaier
🤖 Servebot
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 16, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 13, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 4, 2020
Cordenons Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Aug 24, 2020
Trieste Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Altmaier | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Altmaier | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 69% | 11/16 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 10 or more | 38% | 6/16 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 25% | 4/16 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Altmaier | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–8 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.76 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | +39.6% | -18.1% |
| Units P/L | +6.74u | -1.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Altmaier | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 7 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Altmaier's 50%).
| Opponent | Altmaier | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Comesana | W 61 76 | W 64 60 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 16 36 | L 67 57 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | W 67 76 64 | W 63 57 63 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 46 46 | W 75 76 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 36 63 75 | W 64 76 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 75 64 | W 63 63 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 64 46 64 16 67 | L 46 26 |
| Casper Ruud | W 63 75 | L 36 16 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 57 36 | L 46 57 |
| Tomas Machac | L 46 61 36 | W 57 64 62 57 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Francisco Comesana
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Aleksandar Vukic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Molcan
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Raphael Collignon
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 21
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Nicolas Mejia
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–58 matches
| Metric | Altmaier | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 65% |
| Sets won | 43% | 62% |
| Games won | 48% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Altmaier | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Altmaier | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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