Cristina Bucsa vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Cristina Bucsa
#40 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 0–4
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
Cristina Bucsa and Jessica Pegula have met 2 times since 2023; Jessica Pegula leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2023 on grass. Pegula has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bucsa has taken 0 sets to Pegula's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bucsa | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cristina Bucsa | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 81% | 13/16 | 54% | 31/57 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 10/36 | 46% | 35/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 6/15 | 50% | 30/60 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 11/20 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 88% | 42/48 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 65% | 31/48 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bucsa 0, Pegula 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bucsa
🏹 Frontrunner
Pegula
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 27, 2023
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 6, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bucsa | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Cristina Bucsa | Jessica Pegula | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 95% | 20/21 |
| 3 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 33% | 7/21 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 5% | 1/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bucsa | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 17–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | -36.7% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.20u | +2.29u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bucsa | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 12 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | 761 mi · 1,225 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | AUT → CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Bucsa's 30%).
| Opponent | Bucsa | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Darja Vidmanova | L 46 57 | W 75 63 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 61 46 64 | W 36 63 62 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 06 16 | W 64 67 60 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 16 76 26 | W 64 60 |
| Donna Vekic | W 63 62 | W 46 62 63 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 75 64 | W 62 63 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 46 16 | W 62 64 |
| Dayana Yastremska | L 46 64 67 | W 57 62 63 |
| Mccartney Kessler | L 63 57 36 | W 60 62 |
| Emma Raducanu | L 36 36 | W 36 76 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Darja Vidmanova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Anna Bondar
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 26
Maja Chwalinska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Panna Udvardy
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Moyuka Uchijima
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Polina Kudermetova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Susan Bandecchi
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Shuai Zhang
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg · 1st Round
May 19
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 36–76 matches
| Metric | Bucsa | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 75% |
| Sets won | 48% | 66% |
| Games won | 50% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bucsa | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bucsa | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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