Cristian Garin vs Juan Pablo VarillasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ฑCristian Garin
#131 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
3w3 meetings ยท sets 4โ2

๐ต๐ชJuan Pablo Varillas
#200 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
Cristian Garin and Juan Pablo Varillas have met 3 times since 2016; Cristian Garin leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Lima in 2016 on clay. On clay courts Garin leads 2โ1. Across all meetings Garin has taken 4 sets to Varillas's 2. Their most recent meeting: Cristian Garin won at Chile Dove Men+Care Open - Santiago (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Garin | Pablo Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cristian Garin | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 12/21 | 63% | 25/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 69% | 11/16 | 29% | 8/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 54% | 20/37 | 34% | 23/68 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 10/22 | 29% | 6/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 89% | 34/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 12/23 | 66% | 25/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Garin 2, Pablo Varillas 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Garin
๐ช Counterpuncher
Varillas
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Cristian Garin and Juan Pablo Varillas are ๐ช Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 12, 2021
Chile Dove Men+Care Open - Santiago
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 16, 2018
Padova
C Clay ยท Round of 16
Oct 13, 2016
Lima
C Clay ยท Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Garin | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2โ1 | 12โ6 |
| Avg odds | 2.70 | 2.12 |
| ROI % | +39.7% | +32.2% |
| Units P/L | +1.19u | +5.79u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Garin | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 1 |
| Events | โ | 1 |
| Matches | โ | 3 |
| Distance | โ | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | โ | ARG |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Garin has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Varillas's 33%).
| Opponent | Garin | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | W 26 62 63 | W 57 76 63 |
| Timofey Skatov | W 61 62 | W 64 64 |
| Lautaro Midon | L 36 75 46 | L 67 46 |
| Alex Barrena | W 62 64 | L 62 26 36 |
| Gonzalo Bueno | L 57 62 46 | L 06 57 |
| Andrea Collarini | W 63 75 | L 61 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP ยท Rubber 2
Sep 19
Toby Samuel
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Elias Ymer
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Spencer Johnson
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Learner Tien
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 26
Henri Squire
Bitpanda Hamburg Open ยท 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Lautaro Midon
Oeiras 4 Challenger ยท 1st Round
May 12
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome ยท 2nd Round
May 9
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Antofagasta Challenger ยท 1st Round
Oct 6
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Buenos Aires Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Murkel Dellien
Buenos Aires Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 23
Tomas Farjat
Buenos Aires Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 22
Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 ยท Rubber 5
Sep 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 ยท Rubber 2
Sep 18
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Genoa Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 39โ68 matches
| Metric | Garin | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 59% |
| Sets won | 53% | 55% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Garin | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Garin | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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