Corentin Moutet vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π«π·Corentin Moutet
#62 Β· 27 yrs Β· L
4w3 meetings Β· sets 4β3

πΊπΈFrances Tiafoe
#12 Β· 28 yrs Β· R
4Corentin Moutet and Frances Tiafoe have met 3 times since 2020; Corentin Moutet leads 2β1. Their first meeting came at Forte Village Sardegna Open - Sardinia in 2020 on clay. On hard courts they are level 1β1. Across all meetings Moutet has taken 4 sets to Tiafoe's 3. Their most recent meeting: Corentin Moutet won at Murray River Open - Melbourne (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moutet | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Corentin Moutet | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 10/24 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 15/43 | 41% | 19/46 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 13/25 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 5/10 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 14/23 | 63% | 17/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moutet 1, Tiafoe 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moutet
βοΈ Grinder
Tiafoe
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The π₯ Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs βοΈ Grinder across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Frances Tiafoe.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 1, 2021
Murray River Open - Melbourne
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Oct 26, 2020
Astana Open - Nur-Sultan
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Oct 14, 2020
Forte Village Sardegna Open - Sardinia
C Clay Β· 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Moutet | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Corentin Moutet | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 95% | 19/20 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 60% | 12/20 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 10% | 2/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Moutet | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2β5 | 15β5 |
| Avg odds | 2.24 | 1.92 |
| ROI % | -37.9% | +31.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.65u | +6.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moutet | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi Β· 0 km | 712 mi Β· 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN β USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Moutet's 40%).
| Opponent | Moutet | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 36 46 | W 76 75 |
| Learner Tien | L 64 46 46 | W 64 46 64 |
| Marin Cilic | W 75 64 | W 57 62 62 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 61 62 | L 63 16 57 |
| Jenson Brooksby | L 46 46 | W 64 62 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 36 57 | L 64 67 67 64 36 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 64 64 | W 67 63 62 |
| Tommy Paul | L 64 36 46 | L 57 64 67 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 16 46 | L 26 26 |
| Arthur Cazaux | W 67 63 76 | W 76 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Marton Fucsovics
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Jenson Brooksby
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos Β· 1st Round
Jul 29
Marcos Giron
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 30
Abdullah Shelbayh
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca Β· 1st Round
Jun 22
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships - London Β· 2nd Round
Jun 18
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
HSBC Championships - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 16
Nick Kyrgios
Boss Open - Stuttgart Β· 1st Round
Jun 9
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Final
Aug 23
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Semifinals
Aug 23
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 20
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 17
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 47β56 matches
| Metric | Moutet | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 66% |
| Sets won | 47% | 59% |
| Games won | 49% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moutet | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour 250 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moutet | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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