Corentin Moutet vs Denis ShapovalovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ซ๐ทCorentin Moutet
#71 ยท 27 yrs ยท L
6w2 meetings ยท sets 4โ1

๐จ๐ฆDenis Shapovalov
#42 ยท 27 yrs ยท L
Corentin Moutet and Denis Shapovalov have met 2 times since 2021; Corentin Moutet leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Moutet leads 2โ0. Moutet has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Moutet has taken 4 sets to Shapovalov's 1. Their most recent meeting: Corentin Moutet won at Bucharest Open - Bucharest (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moutet | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Corentin Moutet | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 11/14 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 8/22 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 11/36 | 46% | 18/39 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 10/19 | 35% | 9/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 7/15 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 3/7 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 12/18 | 82% | 18/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 45% | 10/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moutet 1, Shapovalov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moutet
๐พ All-Court
Shapovalov
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐พ All-Court vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 656 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 16, 2024
Bucharest Open - Bucharest
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Apr 29, 2021
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Moutet | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1โ3 | 12โ5 |
| Avg odds | 2.08 | 2.15 |
| ROI % | -54.5% | +12.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.18u | +2.09u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moutet | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 2 |
| Events | โ | 2 |
| Matches | โ | 7 |
| Distance | โ | 2,080 mi ยท 3,347 km |
| Route | โ | CHN โ JPN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Shapovalov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Moutet's 0%).
| Opponent | Moutet | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 26 46 16 | L |
| Vit Kopriva | L 36 75 46 63 36 | W 62 63 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 64 16 36 | L 57 64 57 |
| Marcos Giron | L 64 46 57 46 | W 67 60 76 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 46 36 | W 57 64 63 |
| Casper Ruud | L 57 36 | L 36 46 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 16 46 | L 36 26 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | L 16 46 | W 64 64 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 62 57 57 | L 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Marton Fucsovics
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Jenson Brooksby
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท 1st Round
Jul 29
Marcos Giron
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Abdullah Shelbayh
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca ยท 1st Round
Jun 22
Abedallah Shelbayh
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca ยท 1st Round
Jun 22
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships - London ยท 2nd Round
Jun 18
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sho Shimabukuro
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Semifinals
Sep 28
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Vit Kopriva
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 2nd Round
Sep 25
Tallon Griekspoor
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 1st Round
Sep 24
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 41โ45 matches
| Metric | Moutet | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 56% |
| Sets won | 42% | 52% |
| Games won | 48% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moutet | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moutet | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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