Corentin Moutet vs Denis ShapovalovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Corentin Moutet and Denis Shapovalov have met 2 times since 2021; Corentin Moutet leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Moutet leads 2–0. Moutet has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Moutet has taken 4 sets to Shapovalov's 1. Their most recent meeting: Corentin Moutet won at Bucharest Open - Bucharest (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moutet | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Corentin Moutet | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 10/24 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 15/43 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 13/25 | 30% | 7/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 5/10 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 83% | 15/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 14/23 | 44% | 8/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moutet 1, Shapovalov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moutet
⚙️ Grinder
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Denis Shapovalov.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 16, 2024
Bucharest Open - Bucharest
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 29, 2021
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Moutet | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Corentin Moutet | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moutet | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.24 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -37.9% | -7.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.65u | -0.86u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moutet | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,847 mi · 2,972 km |
| Route | CAN | MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shapovalov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Moutet's 20%).
| Opponent | Moutet | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Jodar | L 64 16 36 | L 57 64 57 |
| Marcos Giron | L 64 46 57 46 | W 67 60 76 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 46 36 | W 57 64 63 |
| Marin Cilic | W 75 64 | L 76 46 57 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 64 75 | W 64 36 62 |
| Casper Ruud | L 57 36 | L 36 46 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 16 46 | L 36 26 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | L 16 46 | W 64 64 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 62 57 57 | L 46 26 |
| Valentin Royer | L 36 26 | W 76 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Marton Fucsovics
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Jenson Brooksby
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Marcos Giron
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Abdullah Shelbayh
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 22
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Nick Kyrgios
Boss Open - Stuttgart · 1st Round
Jun 9
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Adrian Mannarino
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Final
Aug 1
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rinky Hijikata
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Pablo Carreno Busta
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–47 matches
| Metric | Moutet | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 46% |
| Sets won | 47% | 43% |
| Games won | 49% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moutet | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour 250 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moutet | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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