Coco Gauff vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Coco Gauff
#5 · 22 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 4–3
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Coco Gauff and Jelena Ostapenko have met 3 times since 2019; Coco Gauff leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Linz in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Gauff leads 2–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Gauff leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Gauff has taken 4 sets to Ostapenko's 3. Their most recent meeting: Coco Gauff won at U.S. Open - New York (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gauff | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Coco Gauff | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 30/49 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 75% | 12/16 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 31/65 | 40% | 17/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 29/55 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 89% | 8/9 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 11/17 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 37/41 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 30/41 | 65% | 17/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gauff 1, Ostapenko 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gauff
👑 The Complete Package
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 5, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 22, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 4th Round
Oct 13, 2019
Linz
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gauff | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Coco Gauff | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 74% | 14/19 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 5 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 10 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gauff | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–3 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.30 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | +4.6% | -34.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.88u | -2.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gauff | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 592 mi · 952 km |
| Route | ROU | POR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Gauff has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Ostapenko's 30%).
| Opponent | Gauff | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Elise Mertens | L 36 36 | L 26 63 36 |
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | W 76 46 62 | W 63 61 |
| Paula Badosa | W 64 76 | W 76 75 |
| Mirra Andreeva | W 26 76 62 | L 75 26 46 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 63 64 | W 63 60 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 62 64 | L 64 36 26 |
| Sara Bejlek | W 64 61 | L 46 36 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 26 64 36 | L 46 46 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 64 67 46 | L 64 46 46 |
| Sorana Cirstea | W 64 63 | L 16 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Xinran Sun
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Mirra Andreeva
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Iva Jovic
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 8
Cristina Bucsa
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–65 matches
| Metric | Gauff | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 57% |
| Sets won | 68% | 57% |
| Games won | 57% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gauff | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gauff | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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