Chak Pong Marco Lam vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Chak Pong Marco Lam and Tommy Paul have met 1 time since 2026; Tommy Paul leads 1–0. Across all meetings Lam has taken 1 sets to Paul's 3. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pong Marco Lam | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Chak Pong Marco Lam | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 25/36 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 13/26 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 24/62 | 48% | 21/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 10% | 1/10 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 4/6 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 69% | 18/26 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 31/38 | 79% | 22/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 25/38 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Lam
🤖 Servebot
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 30, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Lam | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Chak Pong Marco Lam | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 10 or more | 69% | 11/16 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 15 or more | 19% | 3/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Lam | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.55 | 1.81 |
| ROI % | -3.0% | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.27u | +0.17u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Lam | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 2 |
| Distance | 103 mi · 165 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Lam's 71%).
| Opponent | Lam | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | W 76 46 63 | W 62 62 |
| Alexandre Muller | W 62 62 | W 61 62 61 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 63 36 46 | W 62 75 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 61 75 | W 46 64 76 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 26 63 36 | L 67 64 36 |
| Adam Walton | W 75 76 | W 76 63 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | W 46 63 64 | W 61 36 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Lloyd Harris
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Cruz Hewitt
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Zhizhen Zhang
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Tommy Paul
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Dusan Lajovic
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Carlos Alcaraz
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Alexander Bublik
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Dino Prizmic
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Chak Pong Marco Lam
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–64 matches
| Metric | Lam | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 69% |
| Sets won | 55% | 64% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Lam | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Lam | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.