Chak Pong Marco Lam vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Chak Pong Marco Lam and Sebastian Baez have met 1 time since 2026; Sebastian Baez leads 1–0. Across all meetings Lam has taken 0 sets to Baez's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Baez won at Cancun Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pong Marco Lam | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Chak Pong Marco Lam | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 2/3 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 1/3 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 2/6 | 22% | 13/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/3 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 1/1 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 1/2 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 3/4 | 85% | 29/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 2/4 | 76% | 26/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pong Marco Lam 0, Baez 1).
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 22, 2026
Cancun Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Lam | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Chak Pong Marco Lam | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 29% | 6/21 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 10% | 2/21 |
| 10 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 15 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Lam | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 14–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.65 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | -7.0% | +8.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.28u | +1.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Lam | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 4 |
| Matches | 4 | 9 |
| Distance | 1,247 mi · 2,007 km | 3,066 mi · 4,934 km |
| Route | USA → MEX | CAN → USA → MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sebastian Baez
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Alan Magadan
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Alexandre Muller
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Darwin Blanch
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 28
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Lloyd Harris
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Grigor Dimitrov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 6–64 matches
| Metric | Lam | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 55% |
| Sets won | 50% | 53% |
| Games won | 49% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Lam | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Lam | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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