Chak Pong Marco Lam vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Chak Pong Marco Lam and Sebastian Baez have met 1 time since 2026; Sebastian Baez leads 1–0. Across all meetings Lam has taken 0 sets to Baez's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Baez won at Cancun Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pong Marco Lam | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Chak Pong Marco Lam | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 25/36 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 13/26 | 23% | 6/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 24/62 | 23% | 14/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 10% | 1/10 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 4/6 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 69% | 18/26 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 31/38 | 83% | 29/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 25/38 | 74% | 26/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pong Marco Lam 0, Baez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Lam
🤖 Servebot
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🎾 All-Court across 703 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Chak Pong Marco Lam.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 22, 2026
Cancun Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Lam | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Chak Pong Marco Lam | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 68% | 13/19 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 32% | 6/19 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 10 or more | 69% | 11/16 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 19% | 3/16 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Lam | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 8–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.55 | 2.43 |
| ROI % | -3.0% | -17.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.27u | -2.95u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Lam | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 4 |
| Distance | 103 mi · 165 km | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Lam has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Baez's 38%).
| Opponent | Lam | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Valentin Vacherot | L 64 36 26 | L 46 67 |
| Lloyd Harris | W 64 36 62 | W 64 64 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 36 76 36 | L 46 06 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 61 75 | L 57 57 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 16 63 64 | W 64 61 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | W 46 63 64 | L 62 57 26 02 |
| Adam Walton | W 75 76 | L 26 26 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 26 63 36 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Lloyd Harris
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Cruz Hewitt
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Zhizhen Zhang
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Tommy Paul
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Dusan Lajovic
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Marcos Giron
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 23
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 64–65 matches
| Metric | Lam | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 54% |
| Sets won | 55% | 52% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Lam | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Lam | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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