Caty Mcnally vs Elise MertensPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Caty Mcnally
#64 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 2–5
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#24 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Caty Mcnally and Elise Mertens have met 3 times since 2019; Elise Mertens leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Cincinnati in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Mertens leads 2–0. Across all meetings Mcnally has taken 2 sets to Mertens's 5. Their most recent meeting: Caty Mcnally won at Viking Classic - Birmingham (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mcnally | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Caty Mcnally | Elise Mertens | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 14/26 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 54% | 13/24 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 50% | 25/50 | 31% | 15/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 10/30 | 58% | 19/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 11/17 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 7/10 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 85% | 23/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 14/27 | 78% | 21/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mcnally 0, Mertens 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mcnally
🏹 Frontrunner
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 14, 2022
Viking Classic - Birmingham
G Grass · 1st Round
Sep 5, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 14, 2019
Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mcnally | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Caty Mcnally | Elise Mertens | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 28% | 5/18 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 5 or more | 22% | 4/18 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mcnally | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–7 | 9–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.84 |
| ROI % | +2.5% | +12.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.42u | +1.73u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mcnally | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 7 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL → AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mcnally has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Mertens's 60%).
| Opponent | Mcnally | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 75 46 64 | W 61 64 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 63 64 | L 26 46 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 36 75 46 | W 63 63 |
| Linda Noskova | W 76 61 | L 36 57 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 46 76 61 | W 75 60 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 16 26 | W 76 61 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 75 63 | L 36 36 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 64 62 | W 62 64 |
| Karolina Pliskova | L 46 67 | L 57 62 67 |
| Emma Navarro | W 46 60 64 | W 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Anna Kalinskaya
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Mccartney Kessler
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Alexandra Eala
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Linda Noskova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Tatjana Maria
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Kristina Liutova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Yexin Ma
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Yexin Ma
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–50 matches
| Metric | Mcnally | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 59% |
| Sets won | 52% | 58% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mcnally | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mcnally | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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