Caty Mcnally vs Elise MertensPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Caty Mcnally
#70 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 2–5
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#14 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Caty Mcnally and Elise Mertens have met 3 times since 2019; Elise Mertens leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Cincinnati in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Mertens leads 2–0. Across all meetings Mcnally has taken 2 sets to Mertens's 5. Their most recent meeting: Caty Mcnally won at Viking Classic - Birmingham (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mcnally | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Caty Mcnally | Elise Mertens | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 71% | 24/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 12/24 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 25/54 | 31% | 17/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 13/35 | 55% | 21/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 8/11 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 25/31 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 17/31 | 77% | 24/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mcnally 0, Mertens 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mcnally
🪃 Counterpuncher
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elise Mertens.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 14, 2022
Viking Classic - Birmingham
G Grass · 1st Round
Sep 5, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 14, 2019
Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mcnally | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Caty Mcnally | Elise Mertens | ||
| 1 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 3 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 75% | 12/16 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 56% | 9/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mcnally | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | +8.8% | +23.4% |
| Units P/L | +1.14u | +3.74u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mcnally | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Distance | 654 mi · 1,053 km | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km |
| Route | ROU → CZE | SGP → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Mcnally's 60%).
| Opponent | Mcnally | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Lanlana Tararudee | W 64 46 61 | W 75 61 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 76 36 | W 76 63 |
| Katie Volynets | W 61 62 | W 60 46 75 |
| Emma Navarro | L 63 26 36 | W 62 62 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 75 46 64 | W 61 64 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 63 64 | W |
| Alexandra Eala | L 36 75 46 | W 63 63 |
| Linda Noskova | W 76 61 | L 36 57 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 46 76 61 | W 75 60 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 16 26 | W 76 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lanlana Tararudee
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Yue Yuan
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Dayana Yastremska
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Anouk Koevermans
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Anna Kalinskaya
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Mccartney Kessler
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Alexandra Eala
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–55 matches
| Metric | Mcnally | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 62% |
| Sets won | 54% | 59% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mcnally | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mcnally | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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