Caty Mcnally vs Elena RybakinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Caty Mcnally
#64 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 1–4
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#2 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
8Caty Mcnally and Elena Rybakina have met 2 times since 2025; Elena Rybakina leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at China Open - Beijing in 2025 on hard. Rybakina has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mcnally has taken 1 sets to Rybakina's 4. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Wimbledon - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mcnally | Rybakina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Caty Mcnally | Elena Rybakina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 14/26 | 68% | 39/57 |
| Wins a set when losing | 54% | 13/24 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 50% | 25/50 | 37% | 26/70 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 10/30 | 60% | 37/62 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 11/17 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 7/10 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 94% | 46/49 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 14/27 | 80% | 39/49 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mcnally 0, Rybakina 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mcnally
🏹 Frontrunner
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 2, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Sep 26, 2025
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mcnally | Rybakina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Caty Mcnally | Elena Rybakina | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 28% | 5/18 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 5 or more | 22% | 4/18 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 27% | 4/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mcnally | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–7 | 11–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.32 |
| ROI % | +2.5% | +6.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.42u | +0.90u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mcnally | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 8 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Mcnally's 50%).
| Opponent | Mcnally | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Diana Shnaider | L 62 26 46 | W 64 64 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 36 75 46 | L 57 46 |
| Linda Noskova | W 76 61 | W 63 64 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W 62 63 | W 63 57 64 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 46 76 61 | W 67 75 60 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 75 63 | W 46 63 75 |
| Karolina Pliskova | L 46 67 | W 60 62 |
| Ajla Tomljanovic | L 46 46 | W 62 60 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 75 46 64 | L 63 16 67 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 76 36 | W 75 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Anna Kalinskaya
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Mccartney Kessler
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Alexandra Eala
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Linda Noskova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Tatjana Maria
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Kristina Liutova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Yexin Ma
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Yexin Ma
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Liudmila Samsonova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Ann Li
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Daria Kasatkina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–70 matches
| Metric | Mcnally | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 81% |
| Sets won | 52% | 73% |
| Games won | 51% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mcnally | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mcnally | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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