Casper Ruud vs Tomas MachacPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Casper Ruud and Tomas Machac have met 2 times since 2023; Casper Ruud leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2023 on hard. Ruud has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Ruud leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Ruud has taken 5 sets to Machac's 1. Their most recent meeting: Casper Ruud won at Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ruud | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Casper Ruud | Tomas Machac | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 24/31 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 15% | 2/13 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 9/44 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 20/36 | 21% | 3/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 4/7 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 11/22 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 25/27 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 63% | 5/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ruud 1, Machac 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
🤖 Servebot
Machac
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 25, 2024
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva
C Clay · Final
Jan 17, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ruud | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Casper Ruud | Tomas Machac | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–3 | 2–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | +4.7% | -56.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.42u | -4.51u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruud | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruud has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Machac's 60%).
| Opponent | Ruud | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 67 64 108 | W 76 63 |
| Tommy Paul | W 46 67 64 76 75 | W 26 63 63 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 46 46 | L 16 76 36 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 63 61 | L 75 46 26 75 26 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 63 64 | L 46 76 26 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 67 76 76 | W 64 76 |
| Jaume Munar | W 60 61 | W 64 64 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 75 63 | L 06 61 46 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 36 57 | W 64 16 63 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 62 63 | W 64 67 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Learner Tien
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Bu Yunchaokete
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Luciano Darderi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Francisco Cerundolo
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Fnu Nidunjianzan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Rigele Te
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Zhizhen Zhang
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Arthur Gea
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yannick Hanfmann
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Toby Samuel
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–53 matches
| Metric | Ruud | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 48% |
| Sets won | 64% | 48% |
| Games won | 55% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruud | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruud | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.