Casper Ruud vs Tomas MachacPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Casper Ruud and Tomas Machac have met 2 times since 2023; Casper Ruud leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2023 on hard. Ruud has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Ruud leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Ruud has taken 5 sets to Machac's 1. Their most recent meeting: Casper Ruud won at Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ruud | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Casper Ruud | Tomas Machac | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 23/30 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 3/13 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 10/43 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 21/36 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 10/19 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 75% | 6/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ruud 1, Machac 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
💥 Big Hitter
Machac
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Casper Ruud and Tomas Machac are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 25, 2024
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva
C Clay · Final
Jan 17, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–3 | 0–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.68 |
| ROI % | -48.8% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.44u | -2.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruud | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 313 mi · 503 km |
| Route | CAN | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruud has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Machac's 60%).
| Opponent | Ruud | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Paul | W 46 67 64 76 75 | W 26 63 63 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 46 46 | L 16 76 36 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 63 61 | L 75 46 26 75 26 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 63 64 | L 46 76 26 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 67 76 76 | W 64 76 |
| Jaume Munar | W 60 61 | W 64 64 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 75 63 | L 06 61 46 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 36 57 | W 64 16 63 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 61 62 64 | W 63 64 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 62 63 | W 64 67 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Fonseca
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
May 31
Tommy Paul
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Hamad Medjedovic
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Alexander Zverev
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Zizou Bergs
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round
May 7
Cameron Norrie
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 2nd Round
Apr 24
Francisco Comesana
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 22
Andrey Rublev
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–52 matches
| Metric | Ruud | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 52% |
| Sets won | 64% | 52% |
| Games won | 55% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruud | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruud | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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