Casper Ruud vs Novak DjokovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ณ๐ดCasper Ruud
#24 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
6 meetings ยท sets 2โ12

๐ท๐ธNovak Djokovic
#8 ยท 39 yrs ยท R
TitleCasper Ruud and Novak Djokovic have met 6 times since 2020; Novak Djokovic leads 5โ1. Their first meeting came at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome in 2020 on clay. On clay courts Djokovic leads 3โ1. On hard courts Djokovic leads 2โ0. 2 of their meetings have been finals, with Djokovic leading those 2โ0. Across all meetings Ruud has taken 2 sets to Djokovic's 12. Their most recent meeting: Casper Ruud won at Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ruud | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Casper Ruud | Novak Djokovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 24/31 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 15% | 2/13 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 9/44 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 20/36 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 4/7 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 11/22 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 25/27 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 50% | 4/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ruud 0, Djokovic 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
๐ค Servebot
Djokovic
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Casper Ruud and Novak Djokovic are ๐ค Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Apr 13, 2024
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay ยท Semifinals
Jun 11, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay ยท Final
Nov 20, 2022
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard ยท Final
May 14, 2022
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay ยท Semifinals
Nov 15, 2021
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard ยท Round Robin
Sep 20, 2020
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay ยท Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ruud | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Casper Ruud | Novak Djokovic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ3 | 5โ3 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 1.67 |
| ROI % | +4.7% | +17.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.42u | +1.42u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruud | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi ยท 11,317 km | 663 mi ยท 1,067 km |
| Route | GBR โ JPN โ CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Djokovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Ruud's 40%).
| Opponent | Ruud | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Bu Yunchaokete | W 61 76 | W 46 76 62 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 46 26 67 | L 46 36 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 63 63 | W |
| Mariano Navone | L 57 26 | L 67 75 64 26 16 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 67 36 | L 64 64 36 57 57 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 46 46 | L 46 46 46 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L | W 76 36 63 67 76 |
| Roman Safiullin | W 62 76 57 06 62 | W 76 63 36 63 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 67 76 76 | W 63 64 62 |
| Yibing Wu | L 67 67 | W 64 57 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Learner Tien
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round
Oct 12
Bu Yunchaokete
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 10
Luciano Darderi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Francisco Cerundolo
Laver Cup - London ยท Round Robin
Sep 25
Fnu Nidunjianzan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 ยท Rubber 4
Sep 19
Rigele Te
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 ยท Rubber 1
Sep 18
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 8
Hubert Hurkacz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing ยท Final
Oct 6
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing ยท Semifinals
Oct 5
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Bu Yunchaokete
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Nuno Borges
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 31
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 28โ53 matches
| Metric | Ruud | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 71% |
| Sets won | 64% | 63% |
| Games won | 55% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruud | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 2 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Finals | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruud | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
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