Casper Ruud vs Luciano DarderiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Casper Ruud and Luciano Darderi have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome in 2026 on clay. Across all meetings Ruud has taken 2 sets to Darderi's 2. Their most recent meeting: Luciano Darderi won at Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ruud | Darderi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Casper Ruud | Luciano Darderi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 24/31 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 15% | 2/13 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 9/44 | 42% | 22/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 20/36 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 4/7 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 11/22 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 25/27 | 81% | 22/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 59% | 16/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ruud 1, Darderi 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
🤖 Servebot
Darderi
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 1, 2026
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
May 15, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ruud | Darderi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Casper Ruud | Luciano Darderi | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 79% | 15/19 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 47% | 9/19 |
| 10 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 11% | 2/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–3 | 12–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.56 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | +6.5% | +2.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.65u | +0.55u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruud | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruud has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Darderi's 50%).
| Opponent | Ruud | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 67 76 76 | L 36 46 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 67 64 108 | L 26 36 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 61 62 64 | W 26 64 62 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 61 62 | W 61 63 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 46 46 | L 75 67 67 |
| Jaime Faria | W 67 64 62 | W 26 75 62 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 36 57 | W 64 64 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 46 26 67 | L 67 75 16 |
| Ethan Quinn | L 46 67 | L 67 57 26 |
| Tommy Paul | W 46 67 64 76 75 | W 36 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Learner Tien
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Bu Yunchaokete
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Luciano Darderi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Francisco Cerundolo
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Fnu Nidunjianzan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Rigele Te
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Kyrian Jacquet
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Casper Ruud
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 8
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Harry Wendelken
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Botic van de Zandschulp
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–64 matches
| Metric | Ruud | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 56% |
| Sets won | 64% | 54% |
| Games won | 55% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruud | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruud | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.