Casper Ruud vs Lorenzo SonegoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Casper Ruud and Lorenzo Sonego have met 5 times since 2020; Casper Ruud leads 5–0. Their first meeting came at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome in 2020 on clay. On hard courts Ruud leads 3–0. On clay courts Ruud leads 2–0. Ruud has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Ruud has taken 11 sets to Sonego's 3. Their most recent meeting: Casper Ruud won at BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ruud | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Casper Ruud | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 23/30 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 3/13 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 10/43 | 36% | 13/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 21/36 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 10/19 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 53% | 9/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ruud 3, Sonego 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
💥 Big Hitter
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Oct 16, 2024
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 28, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Oct 28, 2021
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 1, 2021
San Diego Open - San Diego
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 17, 2020
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ruud | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Casper Ruud | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–3 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | -48.8% | -18.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.44u | -2.92u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruud | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruud has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Sonego's 30%).
| Opponent | Ruud | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 61 62 | W 46 63 61 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 76 62 | L 67 67 |
| Mariano Navone | L 57 26 | W 76 26 64 |
| Ben Shelton | L 63 46 36 46 | L 57 36 |
| Tommy Paul | W 46 67 64 76 75 | L 36 26 46 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 63 61 | L 36 36 46 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 61 62 64 | L 46 61 57 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 63 61 | L 67 46 |
| Sebastian Korda | L 64 26 26 | W 62 63 |
| Marcos Giron | W 46 76 64 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Fonseca
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
May 31
Tommy Paul
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Hamad Medjedovic
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Juncheng Shang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Joel Schwaerzler
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–52 matches
| Metric | Ruud | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 47% |
| Sets won | 64% | 46% |
| Games won | 55% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruud | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruud | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.