Casper Ruud vs Lorenzo SonegoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Casper Ruud and Lorenzo Sonego have met 5 times since 2020; Casper Ruud leads 5–0. Their first meeting came at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome in 2020 on clay. On hard courts Ruud leads 3–0. On clay courts Ruud leads 2–0. Ruud has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Ruud has taken 11 sets to Sonego's 3. Their most recent meeting: Casper Ruud won at BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ruud | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Casper Ruud | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 24/31 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 15% | 2/13 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 9/44 | 38% | 14/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 20/36 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 4/7 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 11/22 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 25/27 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 53% | 10/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ruud 3, Sonego 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
🤖 Servebot
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Casper Ruud and Lorenzo Sonego are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Oct 16, 2024
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 28, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Oct 28, 2021
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 1, 2021
San Diego Open - San Diego
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 17, 2020
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ruud | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Casper Ruud | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–3 | 4–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 2.57 |
| ROI % | +4.7% | -42.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.42u | -5.09u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruud | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruud has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Sonego's 30%).
| Opponent | Ruud | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Jenson Brooksby | W 63 75 | L 75 57 26 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 76 62 | L 67 67 |
| Mariano Navone | L 57 26 | W 76 26 64 |
| Ben Shelton | L 63 46 36 46 | L 57 36 |
| Tommy Paul | W 46 67 64 76 75 | L 36 26 46 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 63 61 | L 36 36 46 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 61 62 64 | L 46 61 57 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 63 61 | L 67 46 |
| Sebastian Korda | L 64 26 26 | W 62 63 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 36 57 | W 64 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Learner Tien
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Bu Yunchaokete
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Luciano Darderi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Francisco Cerundolo
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Fnu Nidunjianzan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Rigele Te
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Aziz Dougaz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Kamil Majchrzak
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
James Duckworth
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–53 matches
| Metric | Ruud | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 44% |
| Sets won | 64% | 46% |
| Games won | 55% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruud | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruud | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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