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Head-to-Head

Caroline Garcia vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

CG

🇫🇷Caroline Garcia

Unranked · 32 yrs · Right-Handed

59w
1–4

5 meetings · sets 2–8

Madison Keys

🇺🇸Madison Keys

#20 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed

6w

Caroline Garcia and Madison Keys have met 5 times since 2016; Madison Keys leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Wuhan in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Keys leads 3–1. Across all meetings Garcia has taken 2 sets to Keys's 8. Their most recent meeting: Caroline Garcia won at WTA Elite Trophy - Zhuhai (2023).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorGarciaKeys
Wins in straight sets—74%
Wins a set when losing—56%
Goes to a deciding set—36%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite—57%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog—38%
Tiebreak sets won—46%
Wins after taking set 1—81%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 1—78%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 5 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Garcia 1, Keys 4).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Garcia

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve
vs

Keys

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

5 career meetings, newest first

Oct 25, 2023

WTA Elite Trophy - Zhuhai

H Hard · Round Robin

63
763
Garcia

Feb 21, 2023

Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai

H Hard · 2nd Round

57
46
Keys

May 26, 2022

French Open - Paris

C Clay · 2nd Round

46
637
Keys

Jan 18, 2018

Australian Open

H Hard · Round of 16

36
26
Keys

Sep 28, 2016

Wuhan

H Hard · Round of 32

36
46
Keys

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricGarciaKeys
W-L-6–4
Avg odds-1.40
ROI %--24.8%
Units P/L--2.48u

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Garcia
LLWLLWLW
L

Kamilla Rakhimova

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

46
64
36

Aug 25

L

Karolina Muchova

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

637
607

Aug 10

W

Sonay Kartal

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round

57
64
63

Aug 8

L

Bernarda Pera

French Open - Paris · 1st Round

46
46

May 26

L

Iga Swiatek

Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round

26
57

Mar 21

W

Anna Bondar

Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round

60
765

Mar 19

L

Iga Swiatek

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round

26
06

Mar 7

W

Bernarda Pera

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round

63
64

Mar 5

Keys
LWWLWWWL
L

Qinwen Zheng

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

61
637
57

Sep 5

W

Anna Bondar

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

57
64
765

Sep 3

W

Alina Korneeva

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

75
64

Sep 1

L

Sara Bejlek

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals

63
46
657

Aug 21

W

Xiyu Wang

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

763
64

Aug 20

W

Katerina Siniakova

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

61
63

Aug 18

W

Daria Snigur

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

46
63
63

Aug 16

L

Marta Kostyuk

National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round

36
16

Aug 7

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ GarciaKeys ahead↓ Keys

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–50 matches

MetricGarciaKeys
Matches won-68%
Sets won-65%
Games won-56%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageGarciaKeys
Grand Slam02
WTA Finals10
WTA 100002

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceGarciaKeys
Hard13
Clay01

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Caroline Garcia vs Madison Keys FAQ

Madison Keys leads the head-to-head 4–1 over 5 meetings.