Caroline Garcia vs Daria KasatkinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇫🇷Caroline Garcia
Unranked · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
53w3 meetings · sets 5–3
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#59 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Caroline Garcia and Daria Kasatkina have met 3 times since 2019; Caroline Garcia leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Wuhan in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Garcia leads 2–1. Across all meetings Garcia has taken 5 sets to Kasatkina's 3. Their most recent meeting: Caroline Garcia won at WTA Finals - Fort Worth (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Garcia | Kasatkina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Caroline Garcia | Daria Kasatkina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 60% | 9/15 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 55% | 11/20 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 49% | 17/35 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 28% | 7/25 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 70% | 7/10 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 33% | 4/12 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 73% | 11/15 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 60% | 9/15 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Garcia 1, Kasatkina 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Garcia
🤖 Servebot
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,880 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Caroline Garcia.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Nov 5, 2022
WTA Finals - Fort Worth
H Hard · Round Robin
Aug 4, 2021
Mubadala Silicon Valley Classic - San Jose
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 25, 2019
Wuhan
H Hard · Round of 64
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Garcia | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.44 |
| ROI % | - | -51.7% |
| Units P/L | - | -5.17u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Garcia | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | — | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kamilla Rakhimova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 25
Karolina Muchova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 10
Sonay Kartal
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 8
Bernarda Pera
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 26
Iga Swiatek
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 21
Anna Bondar
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 19
Iga Swiatek
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round
Mar 7
Bernarda Pera
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–35 matches
| Metric | Garcia | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 43% |
| Sets won | - | 47% |
| Games won | - | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Garcia | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| WTA Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Garcia | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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