Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Tomas Barrios VeraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Tomas Barrios Vera have met 6 times since 2018; Tomas Barrios Vera leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Guayaquil in 2018 on clay. On clay courts Vera leads 4–1. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 7 sets to Vera's 8. Their most recent meeting: Tomas Barrios Vera won at Rio de Janeiro (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Barrios Vera | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Tomas Barrios Vera | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 70% | 26/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 43% | 13/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 16/44 | 36% | 24/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 48% | 19/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 15/29 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 14/17 | 88% | 35/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 65% | 26/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 1, Barrios Vera 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Vera
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🎾 All-Court archetype wins about 54% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 143 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tomas Barrios Vera.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Feb 16, 2025
Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Nov 29, 2024
Temuco Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 18, 2024
Campinas Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jan 22, 2023
Piracicaba Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Feb 4, 2021
Cordoba
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 29, 2018
Guayaquil
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Vera | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Tomas Barrios Vera | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–7 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 3.43 | 2.06 |
| ROI % | -47.1% | -27.2% |
| Units P/L | -4.24u | -2.99u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | BRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Carabelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Vera's 0%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Ilia Simakin | W 26 62 75 | L 64 57 67 |
| Guido Ivan Justo | W 61 60 | L 64 46 36 |
| Daniel Merida | L 64 63 26 03 | L 36 63 67 |
| Emilio Nava | W 76 63 63 | L 62 46 67 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 76 64 | L 67 57 |
| Hugo Dellien | W 64 62 | L 46 67 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 46 26 | L 57 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Ilia Simakin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Jan-Lennard Struff
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Miguel Tobon
Antofagasta Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Franco Roncadelli
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Guido Ivan Justo
Curitiba Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Curitiba Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Juan Bautista Torres
Curitiba Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Daniel Rincon
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–69 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 54% |
| Sets won | 47% | 54% |
| Games won | 48% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 4 |
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