Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Tomas Barrios VeraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇦🇷Camilo Ugo Carabelli
#76 · 27 yrs · R
6 meetings · sets 7–8

🇨🇱Tomas Barrios Vera
#144 · 28 yrs · R
5Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Tomas Barrios Vera have met 6 times since 2018; Tomas Barrios Vera leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Guayaquil in 2018 on clay. On clay courts Vera leads 4–1. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 7 sets to Vera's 8. Their most recent meeting: Tomas Barrios Vera won at Rio de Janeiro (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Barrios Vera | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Tomas Barrios Vera | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 13/21 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 6/22 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/43 | 32% | 20/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 50% | 19/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 13/28 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 14/16 | 92% | 33/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 72% | 26/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 1, Barrios Vera 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Vera
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
Both Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Tomas Barrios Vera are ⚙️ Grinder types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 654 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Feb 16, 2025
Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Nov 29, 2024
Temuco Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 18, 2024
Campinas Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jan 22, 2023
Piracicaba Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Feb 4, 2021
Cordoba
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 29, 2018
Guayaquil
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Vera | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Tomas Barrios Vera | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | 2–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.47 | 1.79 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | -68.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.58u | -6.16u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → USA → MEX | MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Carabelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Vera's 17%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Merida | L 64 63 26 03 | L 36 63 67 |
| Emilio Nava | W 76 63 63 | L 62 46 67 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 76 64 | L 67 57 |
| Hugo Dellien | W 64 62 | L 46 67 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 46 26 | L 57 36 |
| Guido Ivan Justo | W 61 60 | W 63 46 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 20
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Pablo Carreno Busta
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Marko Topo
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Dylan Dietrich
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Niels Visker
Bunschoten Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Ilia Simakin
Iasi Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Dane Sweeny
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 30
Marco Cecchinato
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Paul Jubb
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Benjamin Bonzi
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–64 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 56% |
| Sets won | 47% | 56% |
| Games won | 48% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 4 |
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