Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Nicolas JarryPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Nicolas Jarry have met 6 times since 2021; Nicolas Jarry leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Concepcion Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Jarry leads 3–2. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 5 sets to Jarry's 9. Their most recent meeting: Camilo Ugo Carabelli won at Movistar Chile Open - Santiago (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Jarry | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Nicolas Jarry | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 16/44 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 15/29 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 14/17 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 50% | 2/4 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 1, Jarry 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Jarry
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 720 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Nicolas Jarry.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Feb 25, 2025
Movistar Chile Open - Santiago
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 18, 2023
Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 17, 2021
Campinas Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Aug 28, 2021
Warsaw Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 26, 2021
Salinas Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 16, 2021
Concepcion Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–7 | - |
| Avg odds | 3.43 | - |
| ROI % | -47.1% | - |
| Units P/L | -4.24u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | — |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Carabelli and Jarry posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Carabelli | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Titouan Droguet | L 06 63 46 | L 46 36 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 36 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Ilia Simakin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Jan-Lennard Struff
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elmer Moller
Oeiras 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 14
Jurij Rodionov
Madrid Challenger · Semifinals
Apr 11
Nerman Fatic
Madrid Challenger · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Dominic Stricker
Madrid Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 9
Miguel Damas
Madrid Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 7
Mattia Bellucci
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 16
Adam Walton
Cap Cana Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 10
Francesco Maestrelli
BNP Paribas Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 12–49 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 25% |
| Sets won | 47% | 34% |
| Games won | 48% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 3 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.