Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Moez EcharguiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Moez Echargui have met 1 time since 2026; Moez Echargui leads 1–0. Their most recent meeting: Moez Echargui won at Cancun Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Echargui | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Moez Echargui | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 41% | 15/37 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 16/44 | 40% | 22/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 15/29 | 54% | 22/41 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 14/17 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 50% | 11/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Echargui
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 682 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Moez Echargui.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 20, 2026
Cancun Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Echargui | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Moez Echargui | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 47% | 8/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Echargui |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–7 | 9–11 |
| Avg odds | 3.43 | 2.64 |
| ROI % | -47.1% | -9.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.24u | -1.80u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Echargui |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 793 mi · 1,276 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | FRA → POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Carabelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Echargui's 13%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Echargui |
|---|---|---|
| Hugo Dellien | W 64 62 | L 46 46 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 26 62 36 | L 67 64 67 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | L 46 76 26 | W 46 64 76 |
| Luca Van Assche | W 06 63 62 | L 46 46 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 63 36 75 | L 36 76 46 |
| Timofey Skatov | W 67 63 64 | L 36 36 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 26 63 76 | L 67 76 67 |
| Learner Tien | L 67 36 | L 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Ilia Simakin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Jan-Lennard Struff
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Daniil Glinka
Villena Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Raul Brancaccio
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Edas Butvilas
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Damir Dzumhur
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Daniel Masur
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Karl Poling
St. Tropez Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Luca Potenza
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Cassis Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–56 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Echargui |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 32% |
| Sets won | 47% | 38% |
| Games won | 48% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Echargui |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Echargui |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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