Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Mariano NavonePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Mariano Navone have met 4 times since 2022; Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Villa Maria Challenger in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Carabelli leads 3–1. Carabelli has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 6 sets to Navone's 2. Their most recent meeting: Camilo Ugo Carabelli won at Argentina Open - Buenos Aires (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Navone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Mariano Navone | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 13/21 | 68% | 23/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 6/22 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/43 | 34% | 20/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 13/28 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 14/16 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 72% | 23/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 3, Navone 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Navone
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,208 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 12, 2026
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 23, 2024
Punta Del Este Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 25, 2022
Lima 2 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Sep 22, 2022
Villa Maria Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Navone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Mariano Navone | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.47 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | -17.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.58u | -2.13u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN → USA → MEX | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Navone has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Carabelli's 22%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Cameron Norrie | L 67 46 | W 64 64 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 76 64 | W 63 67 63 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 26 62 36 | L 46 46 |
| Daniel Merida | L 64 63 26 03 | W 62 46 75 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 76 16 46 | L 61 67 36 67 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 16 61 36 67 | L 46 57 |
| Emilio Nava | W 76 63 63 | W 62 61 |
| Learner Tien | L 67 36 | L 63 36 57 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 76 16 57 | L 16 63 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 20
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Pablo Carreno Busta
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Marko Topo
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Alexander Blockx
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Raphael Collignon
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Valentin Vacherot
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Matteo Berrettini
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Jan-Lennard Struff
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–62 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 56% |
| Sets won | 47% | 55% |
| Games won | 48% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 3 | 1 |
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