Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Mariano NavonePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Mariano Navone have met 4 times since 2022; Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Villa Maria Challenger in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Carabelli leads 3–1. Carabelli has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 6 sets to Navone's 2. Their most recent meeting: Camilo Ugo Carabelli won at Argentina Open - Buenos Aires (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Navone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Mariano Navone | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 68% | 23/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 16/44 | 33% | 19/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 15/29 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 14/17 | 84% | 26/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 74% | 23/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 3, Navone 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Navone
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 708 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 12, 2026
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 23, 2024
Punta Del Este Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 25, 2022
Lima 2 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Sep 22, 2022
Villa Maria Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Navone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Mariano Navone | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 36% | 5/14 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 21% | 3/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–7 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 3.43 | 2.46 |
| ROI % | -47.1% | +25.6% |
| Units P/L | -4.24u | +3.59u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Navone has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Carabelli's 30%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 64 67 57 | W 76 76 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | W 36 75 75 | L 64 57 36 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 75 63 | L 46 46 36 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 76 64 | W 36 63 64 76 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | L 46 36 36 | W 60 63 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 67 46 | W 64 64 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 26 62 36 | L 46 46 |
| Daniel Merida | L 64 63 26 03 | W 62 46 75 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 76 16 46 | L 61 67 36 67 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 16 61 36 67 | L 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Ilia Simakin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Jan-Lennard Struff
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Matteo Berrettini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Novak Djokovic
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Alexander Blockx
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Raphael Collignon
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–64 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 58% |
| Sets won | 47% | 55% |
| Games won | 48% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 3 | 1 |
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