Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Camilo Ugo Carabelli
#76 · 27 yrs · R
2 meetings · sets 2–3
🇫🇷Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
#104 · 23 yrs · R
4Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard have met 2 times since 2022; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Lima 2 Challenger in 2022 on clay. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 2 sets to Perricard's 3. Their most recent meeting: Camilo Ugo Carabelli won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Mpetshi Perricard | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 13/21 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 6/22 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/43 | 48% | 19/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 32% | 7/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 13/28 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 55% | 21/38 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 14/16 | 82% | 14/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 53% | 9/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 0, Mpetshi Perricard 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Perricard
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 19, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 26, 2022
Lima 2 Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Perricard | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 44% | 4/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 33% | 3/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Perricard |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.47 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | -40.2% |
| Units P/L | -1.58u | -3.62u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Perricard |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km | 737 mi · 1,186 km |
| Route | CAN → USA → MEX | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Perricard has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Carabelli's 13%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Perricard |
|---|---|---|
| Cameron Norrie | L 67 46 | W 46 63 76 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 46 36 | L 76 67 26 36 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | L 46 76 26 | W 63 64 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 16 62 63 | L 36 61 57 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | L 36 64 67 | L 76 67 46 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 67 26 | L 46 46 63 75 36 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 67 46 | W 46 76 76 |
| Filip Misolic | L 57 67 | W 36 61 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 20
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Pablo Carreno Busta
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Marko Topo
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Jenson Brooksby
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Yannick Hanfmann
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Corentin Moutet
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Aleksandar Kovacevic
HSBC Championships · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Johannus Monday
HSBC Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Alexander Bublik
Boss Open - Stuttgart · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Gauthier Onclin
Boss Open - Stuttgart · 2nd Round
Jun 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–47 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Perricard |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 44% |
| Sets won | 47% | 46% |
| Games won | 48% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Perricard |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Perricard |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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