Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐ทCamilo Ugo Carabelli
#77 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
2 meetings ยท sets 2โ3

๐ซ๐ทGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard
#108 ยท 23 yrs ยท R
6wCamilo Ugo Carabelli and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard have met 2 times since 2022; they are level 1โ1. Their first meeting came at Lima 2 Challenger in 2022 on clay. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 2 sets to Perricard's 3. Their most recent meeting: Camilo Ugo Carabelli won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Mpetshi Perricard | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 16/44 | 44% | 15/34 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 32% | 6/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 15/29 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 53% | 16/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 14/17 | 85% | 11/13 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 54% | 7/13 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 0, Mpetshi Perricard 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
โ๏ธ Grinder
Perricard
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs โ๏ธ Grinder across 720 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 19, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Oct 26, 2022
Lima 2 Challenger
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Perricard |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2โ7 | 0โ4 |
| Avg odds | 3.43 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -47.1% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.24u | -4.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Perricard |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 4 | โ |
| Distance | 3,172 mi ยท 5,105 km | โ |
| Route | CHN โ JPN โ CHN | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Perricard has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Carabelli's 13%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Perricard |
|---|---|---|
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 64 67 57 | L 46 46 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 26 36 | W 46 76 76 |
| Moez Echargui | L | W 76 67 76 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 67 46 | W 46 63 76 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 46 36 | L 76 67 26 36 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | L 46 76 26 | W 63 64 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 16 62 63 | L 36 61 57 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 67 26 | L 46 46 63 75 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 10
Ilia Simakin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 8
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 1st Round
Sep 24
Jan-Lennard Struff
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 20
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Jurij Rodionov
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 31
Jenson Brooksby
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 1st Round
Aug 23
Trevor Svajda
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Yannick Hanfmann
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Corentin Moutet
HSBC Championships - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Aleksandar Kovacevic
HSBC Championships ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Johannus Monday
HSBC Championships ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 38โ49 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Perricard |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 39% |
| Sets won | 47% | 41% |
| Games won | 48% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Perricard |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Perricard |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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