Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Gael MonfilsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Gael Monfils have met 1 time since 2026; Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 1–0. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 2 sets to Monfils's 0. Their most recent meeting: Camilo Ugo Carabelli won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Monfils | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Gael Monfils | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 13/21 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 6/22 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/43 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 13/28 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 14/16 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 50% | 3/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 1, Monfils 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Monfils
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Gael Monfils.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 23, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | 1–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.47 | 2.85 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | +19.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.58u | +0.57u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA → MEX | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Carabelli and Monfils posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | Carabelli | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Rinky Hijikata | L 67 46 | L 62 67 36 |
| Learner Tien | L 67 36 | L 36 60 36 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 16 62 63 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 20
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Pablo Carreno Busta
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Marko Topo
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Rinky Hijikata
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Hugo Gaston
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 23
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 2nd Round
Apr 7
Tallon Griekspoor
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 1st Round
Apr 5
Felix Auger-Aliassime
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round
Mar 6
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 13–47 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 31% |
| Sets won | 47% | 42% |
| Games won | 48% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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