Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Gael MonfilsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Gael Monfils have met 1 time since 2026; Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 1–0. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 2 sets to Monfils's 0. Their most recent meeting: Camilo Ugo Carabelli won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Monfils | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Gael Monfils | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 16/44 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 15/29 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 14/17 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 50% | 3/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 1, Monfils 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Monfils
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 720 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Gael Monfils.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 23, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Monfils | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Gael Monfils | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–7 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 3.43 | 3.13 |
| ROI % | -47.1% | +14.8% |
| Units P/L | -4.24u | +0.74u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | — |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Carabelli and Monfils posted a 25% win rate.
| Opponent | Carabelli | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 64 67 57 | L 76 36 46 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 26 36 | L 62 67 36 |
| Learner Tien | L 67 36 | L 36 46 36 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 16 62 63 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Ilia Simakin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Jan-Lennard Struff
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Learner Tien
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Rinky Hijikata
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Hugo Gaston
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 23
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 2nd Round
Apr 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 15–49 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 33% |
| Sets won | 47% | 42% |
| Games won | 48% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.