Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Federico CinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Federico Cina have met 1 time since 2026; Federico Cina leads 1–0. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 0 sets to Cina's 2. Their most recent meeting: Federico Cina won at Chengdu Open - Chengdu (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Cina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Federico Cina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 68% | 25/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 46% | 12/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 16/44 | 38% | 24/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 45% | 22/49 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 15/29 | 79% | 11/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 14/17 | 82% | 32/39 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 64% | 25/39 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 0, Cina 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Cina
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 682 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Federico Cina.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 24, 2026
Chengdu Open - Chengdu
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Cina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Federico Cina | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 79% | 15/19 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 58% | 11/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 11% | 2/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Cina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–7 | 11–9 |
| Avg odds | 3.43 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | -47.1% | -23.8% |
| Units P/L | -4.24u | -4.75u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Cina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 4 | 11 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Carabelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Cina's 40%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Cina |
|---|---|---|
| Ilia Simakin | W 26 62 75 | L 36 63 36 |
| Hugo Dellien | W 64 62 | W 63 57 75 |
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | W 57 64 76 | L 64 36 46 |
| Marko Topo | W 67 76 63 | W 63 62 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 75 61 | L 76 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Ilia Simakin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Jan-Lennard Struff
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Alex Molcan
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Aziz Dougaz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Linang Xiao
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Yanki Erel
Jingshan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Elias Ymer
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 2
James McCabe
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–66 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Cina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 58% |
| Sets won | 47% | 55% |
| Games won | 48% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Cina |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Cina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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