Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Facundo MenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐ทCamilo Ugo Carabelli
#77 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
6 meetings ยท sets 5โ8

๐ฆ๐ทFacundo Mena
#197 ยท 34 yrs ยท R
4Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Facundo Mena have met 6 times since 2017; Facundo Mena leads 4โ2. Their first meeting came at Guayaquil in 2017 on clay. On clay courts Mena leads 4โ2. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 5 sets to Mena's 8. Their most recent meeting: Facundo Mena won at Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Mena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Facundo Mena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 77% | 33/43 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 29% | 7/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 16/44 | 25% | 17/67 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 56% | 22/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 15/29 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 14/17 | 92% | 36/39 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 85% | 33/39 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 2, Mena 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
โ๏ธ Grinder
Mena
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฅ Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs โ๏ธ Grinder across 682 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Facundo Mena.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Sep 13, 2023
Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Feb 4, 2023
Cordoba
C Clay ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 12, 2022
Lima Challenger
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 13, 2021
Prague 2 Challenger
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 11, 2019
Banja Luka
C Clay ยท Round of 32
Oct 30, 2017
Guayaquil
C Clay ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Mena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Facundo Mena | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 68% | 13/19 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 47% | 9/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 5% | 1/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Mena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2โ7 | 13โ6 |
| Avg odds | 3.43 | 2.24 |
| ROI % | -47.1% | +57.4% |
| Units P/L | -4.24u | +10.90u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Mena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi ยท 5,105 km | 835 mi ยท 1,344 km |
| Route | CHN โ JPN โ CHN | ARG โ BRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Carabelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Mena's 50%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Mena |
|---|---|---|
| Guido Ivan Justo | W 61 60 | W 64 76 |
| Hugo Dellien | W 64 62 | W 76 64 |
| Nicolas Mejia | W 75 64 | L 67 61 26 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 26 62 36 | L 57 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 10
Ilia Simakin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 8
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 1st Round
Sep 24
Jan-Lennard Struff
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 20
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Luis Felipe Miguel
Curitiba Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Alex Barrena
Buenos Aires Challenger ยท Final
Sep 27
Pedro Boscardin Dias
Buenos Aires Challenger ยท Semifinals
Sep 26
Nicolas Kicker
Buenos Aires Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Guido Ivan Justo
Buenos Aires Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 23
Renzo Olivo
Buenos Aires Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 22
Hugo Dellien
Porto Challenger ยท Final
Sep 6
Gustavo Heide
Porto Challenger ยท Semifinals
Sep 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 49โ67 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Mena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 64% |
| Sets won | 47% | 62% |
| Games won | 48% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Mena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 4 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Mena |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 4 |
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