Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Cristian GarinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Cristian Garin have met 1 time since 2025; Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 1–0. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 2 sets to Garin's 0. Their most recent meeting: Camilo Ugo Carabelli won at Nordea Open - Bastad (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Garin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Cristian Garin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 13/21 | 52% | 13/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 6/22 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/43 | 55% | 22/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 13/28 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 36% | 4/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 14/16 | 75% | 18/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 54% | 13/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 1, Garin 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Garin
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,208 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 16, 2025
Nordea Open - Bastad
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.47 | - |
| ROI % | -22.6% | - |
| Units P/L | -1.58u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA → MEX | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Carabelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Garin's 50%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Learner Tien | L 67 36 | L 06 62 06 26 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 16 36 | L 67 46 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 75 61 | W 76 75 |
| Martin Damm | W 76 63 | L 62 46 67 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 76 16 57 | L 64 46 57 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 63 36 75 | W 67 62 62 |
| Timofey Skatov | W 67 63 64 | W 61 62 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 67 26 | L 67 61 57 |
| Mariano Navone | W 62 75 | W 76 62 |
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | W 57 64 76 | W 26 63 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 20
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Pablo Carreno Busta
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Marko Topo
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Learner Tien
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 26
Henri Squire
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Lautaro Midon
Oeiras 4 Challenger · 1st Round
May 12
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 9
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round
May 7
Jan Choinski
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 5
Moez Echargui
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Nuno Borges
Cagliari Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 30
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–47 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 60% |
| Sets won | 47% | 56% |
| Games won | 48% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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