Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Cristian GarinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Cristian Garin have met 1 time since 2025; Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 1–0. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 2 sets to Garin's 0. Their most recent meeting: Camilo Ugo Carabelli won at Nordea Open - Bastad (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Garin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Cristian Garin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 16/44 | 54% | 20/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 15/29 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 14/17 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 52% | 12/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 1, Garin 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Garin
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 708 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 16, 2025
Nordea Open - Bastad
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–7 | 2–1 |
| Avg odds | 3.43 | 2.70 |
| ROI % | -47.1% | +39.7% |
| Units P/L | -4.24u | +1.19u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | — |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Carabelli and Garin posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Carabelli | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 36 | L 06 26 |
| Moez Echargui | L | W 60 62 |
| Learner Tien | L 67 36 | L 06 62 06 26 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 75 61 | W 76 75 |
| Martin Damm | W 76 63 | L 62 46 67 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 76 16 57 | L 64 46 57 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 63 36 75 | W 67 62 62 |
| Timofey Skatov | W 67 63 64 | W 61 62 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 67 26 | L 67 61 57 |
| Mariano Navone | W 62 75 | W 76 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Ilia Simakin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Jan-Lennard Struff
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Rafael Jodar
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Toby Samuel
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Elias Ymer
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Spencer Johnson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Learner Tien
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 26
Henri Squire
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Lautaro Midon
Oeiras 4 Challenger · 1st Round
May 12
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–49 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 54% |
| Sets won | 47% | 53% |
| Games won | 48% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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