Cameron Norrie vs Tomas MachacPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Cameron Norrie and Tomas Machac have met 2 times since 2023; Cameron Norrie leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2023 on grass. Norrie has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Norrie has taken 5 sets to Machac's 2. Their most recent meeting: Cameron Norrie won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Norrie | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cameron Norrie | Tomas Machac | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 15/29 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 23/51 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 14/28 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 14/31 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 15/25 | 75% | 6/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Norrie 0, Machac 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Norrie
🎯 Baseliner
Machac
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 24, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jul 4, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Norrie | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 0–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.68 |
| ROI % | -8.3% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.99u | -2.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Norrie | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 2 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 313 mi · 503 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Norrie has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Machac's 50%).
| Opponent | Norrie | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | L 63 36 36 | L 46 26 26 |
| James Duckworth | W 64 64 | W 63 63 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 57 | L 16 76 36 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 26 | L 46 64 36 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 62 67 62 | L 46 36 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 63 64 | W 26 64 61 |
| Emilio Nava | W 61 76 46 76 | W 26 64 61 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 16 76 75 | W 64 67 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Dino Prizmic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Denis Shapovalov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Bernard Tomic
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Alexander Zverev
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Zizou Bergs
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round
May 7
Cameron Norrie
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 2nd Round
Apr 24
Francisco Comesana
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 22
Andrey Rublev
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 30–55 matches
| Metric | Norrie | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 50% |
| Sets won | 53% | 50% |
| Games won | 51% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Norrie | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Norrie | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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