Cameron Norrie vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇬🇧Cameron Norrie
#33 · 31 yrs · L
3 meetings · sets 5–3
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#209 · 33 yrs · R
5wCameron Norrie and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 3 times since 2018; Cameron Norrie leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Estoril in 2018 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Norrie has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Norrie has taken 5 sets to Baena's 3. Their most recent meeting: Cameron Norrie won at Moselle Open - Metz (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Norrie | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cameron Norrie | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 15/29 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 23/51 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 14/28 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 14/31 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 85% | 22/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 15/25 | 58% | 15/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Norrie 1, Carballes Baena 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Norrie
🎯 Baseliner
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 790 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Cameron Norrie.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Nov 4, 2024
Moselle Open - Metz
H Hard · 1st Round
May 11, 2021
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 1st Round
May 3, 2018
Estoril
C Clay · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Norrie | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Cameron Norrie | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Norrie | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -8.3% | -20.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.99u | -2.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Norrie | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 8 | — |
| Distance | 3,258 mi · 5,243 km | — |
| Route | MEX → CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Norrie has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Baena's 0%).
| Opponent | Norrie | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie McDonald | W 62 63 | L 46 46 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 63 64 | L 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Dino Prizmic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Denis Shapovalov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Bernard Tomic
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mark Ceban
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Sebastian Ofner
Parma Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Stefano Travaglia
Parma Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Miguel Damas
Parma Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–55 matches
| Metric | Norrie | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 55% |
| Sets won | 53% | 54% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Norrie | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Norrie | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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