Cameron Norrie vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇬🇧Cameron Norrie
#40 · 31 yrs · L
43 meetings · sets 5–3
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#258 · 33 yrs · R
5wCameron Norrie and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 3 times since 2018; Cameron Norrie leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Estoril in 2018 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Norrie has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Norrie has taken 5 sets to Baena's 3. Their most recent meeting: Cameron Norrie won at Moselle Open - Metz (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Norrie | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cameron Norrie | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 13/26 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 9/21 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 22/47 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 12/26 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 11/27 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 19/21 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 13/21 | 58% | 14/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Norrie 1, Carballes Baena 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Norrie
🎯 Baseliner
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 979 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Cameron Norrie.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Nov 4, 2024
Moselle Open - Metz
H Hard · 1st Round
May 11, 2021
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 1st Round
May 3, 2018
Estoril
C Clay · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Norrie | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Cameron Norrie | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 3 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 5 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Norrie | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–6 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.25 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -15.3% | -54.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.99u | -3.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Norrie | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Norrie has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Baena's 0%).
| Opponent | Norrie | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie McDonald | W 62 63 | L 46 46 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 63 64 | L 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dalibor Svrcina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Luca Van Assche
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Dino Prizmic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Pedro Vives Marcos
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–52 matches
| Metric | Norrie | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 51% |
| Sets won | 51% | 51% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Norrie | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Norrie | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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