Cameron Norrie vs Hugo GastonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Cameron Norrie and Hugo Gaston have met 3 times since 2022; Cameron Norrie leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Norrie leads 2–0. Norrie has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Norrie has taken 6 sets to Gaston's 0. Their most recent meeting: Cameron Norrie won at ASB Classic - Auckland (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Norrie | Gaston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cameron Norrie | Hugo Gaston | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 15/29 | 63% | 22/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 36% | 8/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 23/51 | 37% | 21/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 14/28 | 49% | 17/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 14/31 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 90% | 27/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 15/25 | 73% | 22/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Norrie 3, Gaston 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Norrie
🎯 Baseliner
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 790 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Cameron Norrie.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 12, 2026
ASB Classic - Auckland
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 12, 2025
Barcelona
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 27, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Norrie | Gaston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Cameron Norrie | Hugo Gaston | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 46% | 6/13 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Norrie | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | -8.3% | +7.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.99u | +1.24u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Norrie | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 8 | 2 |
| Distance | 3,258 mi · 5,243 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | MEX → CAN → USA | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Norrie has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Gaston's 50%).
| Opponent | Norrie | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Buse | W 63 63 | L 16 26 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 64 67 64 | W 64 64 |
| Christopher O'Connell | L 67 46 | L 26 36 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 64 64 | W 64 36 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Dino Prizmic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Denis Shapovalov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Bernard Tomic
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Luca Van Assche
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Jesper de Jong
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Semifinals
Jul 25
Tiago Torres
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Daniel Altmaier
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Jan Choinski
Braunschweig Challenger · Final
Jul 12
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Braunschweig Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–61 matches
| Metric | Norrie | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 61% |
| Sets won | 53% | 56% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Norrie | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Norrie | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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