Botic van de Zandschulp vs Matteo ArnaldiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Botic van de Zandschulp and Matteo Arnaldi have met 3 times since 2023; Botic van de Zandschulp leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Davis Cup, World Group, QF, ITA-NED 2-1 in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Zandschulp leads 2–0. Zandschulp has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Zandschulp has taken 7 sets to Arnaldi's 1. Their most recent meeting: Botic van de Zandschulp won at Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | van de Zandschulp | Arnaldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Botic van de Zandschulp | Matteo Arnaldi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 11/25 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 19/54 | 57% | 21/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 13/25 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 17/24 | 67% | 12/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 14/24 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 23/29 | 87% | 13/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 53% | 8/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (van de Zandschulp 1, Arnaldi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zandschulp
💥 Big Hitter
Arnaldi
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Botic van de Zandschulp and Matteo Arnaldi are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 19, 2025
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 1, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Nov 23, 2023
Davis Cup, World Group, QF, ITA-NED 2-1
H Hard · Rubber 1
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zandschulp | Arnaldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Botic van de Zandschulp | Matteo Arnaldi | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 20/22 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 77% | 17/22 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 5 or more | 55% | 12/22 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 6/22 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 3/22 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–8 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.22 | 2.92 |
| ROI % | +24.8% | -29.3% |
| Units P/L | +5.70u | -2.93u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zandschulp has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Arnaldi's 40%).
| Opponent | Zandschulp | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 76 36 | L 57 46 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 57 16 | L 46 46 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 64 75 62 | W 46 76 64 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | W 64 64 | L 67 76 26 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 36 76 75 | W 64 64 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 26 76 46 | L 63 46 36 |
| Damir Dzumhur | W 63 63 | L 67 76 67 |
| Quentin Halys | L | L 63 16 67 36 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 63 67 64 60 | W 75 64 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 64 76 | W 76 57 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex Michelsen
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jie Cui
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Valentin Royer
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Johan Alexander Rodriguez
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NED-COL 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 10
Taylor Fritz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Bernard Tomic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Rei Sakamoto
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
James Duckworth
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Fabian Marozsan
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–65 matches
| Metric | Zandschulp | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 52% |
| Sets won | 55% | 50% |
| Games won | 51% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zandschulp | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zandschulp | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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