Botic van de Zandschulp vs Matteo ArnaldiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Botic van de Zandschulp and Matteo Arnaldi have met 3 times since 2023; Botic van de Zandschulp leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Davis Cup, World Group, QF, ITA-NED 2-1 in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Zandschulp leads 2–0. Zandschulp has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Zandschulp has taken 7 sets to Arnaldi's 1. Their most recent meeting: Botic van de Zandschulp won at Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | van de Zandschulp | Arnaldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Botic van de Zandschulp | Matteo Arnaldi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 20/25 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 11/27 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/52 | 58% | 21/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 13/23 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 14/23 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 14/29 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 22/27 | 87% | 13/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 47% | 7/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (van de Zandschulp 1, Arnaldi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zandschulp
💥 Big Hitter
Arnaldi
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Botic van de Zandschulp.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 19, 2025
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 1, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Nov 23, 2023
Davis Cup, World Group, QF, ITA-NED 2-1
H Hard · Rubber 1
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zandschulp | Arnaldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Botic van de Zandschulp | Matteo Arnaldi | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 7/15 | 73% | 8/11 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.29 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | +7.8% | -33.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.25u | -2.66u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zandschulp has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Arnaldi's 50%).
| Opponent | Zandschulp | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | W 64 64 | L 67 76 26 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 36 76 75 | W 64 64 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 26 76 46 | L 63 46 36 |
| Damir Dzumhur | W 63 63 | L 67 76 67 |
| Quentin Halys | L 16 02 | L 63 16 67 36 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 63 67 64 60 | W 75 64 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 64 76 | W 76 57 63 62 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 63 67 57 | W 46 76 64 |
| Alexandre Muller | W 75 63 | L 16 76 46 |
| Nuno Borges | L 67 67 | W 63 67 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Benjamin Bonzi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Luciano Darderi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Joao Fonseca
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Jakub Mensik
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 10
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Daniil Medvedev
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Fabian Marozsan
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Damir Dzumhur
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Federico Agustin Gomez
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Quentin Halys
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Giles Hussey
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–58 matches
| Metric | Zandschulp | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 50% |
| Sets won | 51% | 49% |
| Games won | 51% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zandschulp | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zandschulp | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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