Botic van de Zandschulp vs Denis ShapovalovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ณ๐ฑBotic van de Zandschulp
#71 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
3 meetings ยท sets 5โ2

๐จ๐ฆDenis Shapovalov
#47 ยท 27 yrs ยท L
Botic van de Zandschulp and Denis Shapovalov have met 3 times since 2024; Botic van de Zandschulp leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Zandschulp leads 2โ1. Zandschulp has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Zandschulp has taken 5 sets to Shapovalov's 2. Their most recent meeting: Botic van de Zandschulp won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | van de Zandschulp | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Botic van de Zandschulp | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 20/25 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 11/27 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/52 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 13/23 | 30% | 7/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 14/23 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 14/29 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 22/27 | 83% | 15/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 44% | 8/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (van de Zandschulp 1, Shapovalov 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zandschulp
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Shapovalov
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Botic van de Zandschulp and Denis Shapovalov are ๐ฅ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 19, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Aug 27, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Mar 8, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zandschulp | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Botic van de Zandschulp | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 7/15 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9โ7 | 6โ5 |
| Avg odds | 2.29 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | +7.8% | -7.8% |
| Units P/L | +1.25u | -0.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km | 1,847 mi ยท 2,972 km |
| Route | CAN โ USA | MEX โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Zandschulp and Shapovalov posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Zandschulp | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Joao Fonseca | L 46 67 | L 75 46 36 |
| Jaime Faria | L 36 46 | L 46 57 46 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 36 26 | L 36 67 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 63 67 64 60 | W 64 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 63 67 57 | L 46 16 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 26 76 46 | W 64 36 62 |
| Mariano Navone | L 75 67 57 | L 46 26 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 64 76 | W 62 36 64 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 62 62 | L 46 46 |
| Christopher O'Connell | W 62 62 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Benjamin Bonzi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Luciano Darderi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 3rd Round
Aug 26
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 25
Joao Fonseca
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Jakub Mensik
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 4th Round
Aug 10
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Daniil Medvedev
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Adrian Mannarino
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท Final
Aug 1
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท Semifinals
Jul 31
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rinky Hijikata
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท 1st Round
Jul 29
Pablo Carreno Busta
Wimbledon ยท Round of 128
Jun 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 39โ58 matches
| Metric | Zandschulp | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 46% |
| Sets won | 51% | 43% |
| Games won | 51% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zandschulp | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zandschulp | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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