Botic van de Zandschulp vs Denis ShapovalovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Botic van de Zandschulp and Denis Shapovalov have met 3 times since 2024; Botic van de Zandschulp leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Zandschulp leads 2–1. Zandschulp has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Zandschulp has taken 5 sets to Shapovalov's 2. Their most recent meeting: Botic van de Zandschulp won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | van de Zandschulp | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Botic van de Zandschulp | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 20/28 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 11/25 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 19/53 | 46% | 18/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 13/25 | 35% | 9/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 16/23 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 13/23 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 82% | 18/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 20/28 | 45% | 10/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (van de Zandschulp 1, Shapovalov 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zandschulp
💥 Big Hitter
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Botic van de Zandschulp and Denis Shapovalov are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 19, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 27, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 8, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zandschulp | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Botic van de Zandschulp | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 76% | 16/21 | 82% | 14/17 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 12/21 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 10 or more | 29% | 6/21 | 41% | 7/17 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 3/21 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–7 | 12–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.23 | 2.15 |
| ROI % | +30.4% | +12.3% |
| Units P/L | +6.70u | +2.09u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 7 |
| Distance | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km | 2,080 mi · 3,347 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN → JPN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zandschulp has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Shapovalov's 30%).
| Opponent | Zandschulp | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Valentin Royer | W 46 62 64 | W 76 62 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 36 76 75 | L 76 36 36 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 26 76 46 | W 64 76 |
| Arthur Gea | W 36 67 76 76 64 | L 36 46 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 64 75 62 | L 46 16 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 46 67 | L 75 46 36 |
| Jaime Faria | L 36 46 | L 46 57 46 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 36 26 | L 36 67 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 63 67 64 60 | W 64 64 |
| Mariano Navone | L 75 67 57 | L 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex Michelsen
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jie Cui
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Valentin Royer
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Johan Alexander Rodriguez
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NED-COL 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 10
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sho Shimabukuro
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Vit Kopriva
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Tallon Griekspoor
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–64 matches
| Metric | Zandschulp | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 56% |
| Sets won | 54% | 52% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zandschulp | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zandschulp | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.