Benjamin Bonzi vs Lorenzo MusettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Benjamin Bonzi and Lorenzo Musetti have met 5 times since 2019; Lorenzo Musetti leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Cordenons in 2019 on clay. On hard courts Bonzi leads 2–1. On clay courts Musetti leads 2–0. Across all meetings Bonzi has taken 5 sets to Musetti's 8. Their most recent meeting: Benjamin Bonzi won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bonzi | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Benjamin Bonzi | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 21/33 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 19/55 | 26% | 12/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 16/30 | 59% | 20/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 11/21 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 17/27 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 25/28 | 90% | 26/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 21/28 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bonzi 1, Musetti 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bonzi
💥 Big Hitter
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Aug 9, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 15, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 21, 2021
Istanbul Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 8, 2019
Florence
C Clay · Round of 64
Aug 5, 2019
Cordenons
C Clay · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bonzi | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Benjamin Bonzi | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 60% | 9/15 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bonzi | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.94 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | +23.1% | -18.1% |
| Units P/L | +3.69u | -1.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bonzi | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 3 |
| Matches | 9 | 7 |
| Distance | 3,309 mi · 5,326 km | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Bonzi's 0%).
| Opponent | Bonzi | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Jodar | L 46 46 | L 46 36 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 16 64 26 | W 76 75 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 26 46 | W 75 36 75 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 36 46 26 | L 46 57 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 46 36 | W 64 75 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 46 75 67 | W 76 64 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 76 16 46 | L 16 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Semifinals
Aug 28
Botic van de Zandschulp
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Rinky Hijikata
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Quentin Halys
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Kamil Majchrzak
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Luca Van Assche
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Justin Boulais
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Yannick Hanfmann
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Nicolas Mejia
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–58 matches
| Metric | Bonzi | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 65% |
| Sets won | 54% | 62% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bonzi | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bonzi | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.