Ben Shelton vs Dominic ThiemPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ben Shelton and Dominic Thiem have met 3 times since 2023; Ben Shelton leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril in 2023 on clay. On hard courts Shelton leads 2–0. Shelton has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Shelton has taken 5 sets to Thiem's 2. Their most recent meeting: Ben Shelton won at U.S. Open - New York (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shelton | Thiem | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ben Shelton | Dominic Thiem | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 16/32 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 52% | 26/50 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 14/40 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 22/39 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 23/30 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 16/30 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shelton 1, Thiem 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shelton
🤖 Servebot
Thiem
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 26, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 31, 2023
US Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Apr 6, 2023
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril
C Clay · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shelton | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.54 | - |
| ROI % | +9.9% | - |
| Units P/L | +2.08u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shelton | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Gea
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Daniel Altmaier
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jakub Mensik
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Jiri Lehecka
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 13
Frances Tiafoe
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Carlos Alcaraz
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Stefanos Tsitsipas
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Luciano Darderi
Erste Bank Open - Vienna · 1st Round
Oct 22
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 26
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 23
Juan Pablo Varillas
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 15
Gael Monfils
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 24
Otto Virtanen
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 22
Franco Agamenone
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 20
Thanasi Kokkinakis
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–65 matches
| Metric | Shelton | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | - |
| Sets won | 61% | - |
| Games won | 53% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shelton | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shelton | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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