Ben Shelton vs Dominic ThiemPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ben Shelton and Dominic Thiem have met 3 times since 2023; Ben Shelton leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Estoril in 2023 on clay. On hard courts Shelton leads 2–0. Shelton has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Shelton has taken 5 sets to Thiem's 2. Their most recent meeting: Ben Shelton won at US Open (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shelton | Thiem | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ben Shelton | Dominic Thiem | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 48% | 15/31 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 9/16 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 53% | 25/47 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 13/37 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 21/36 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 15/28 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shelton 1, Thiem 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shelton
🤖 Servebot
Thiem
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 26, 2024
US Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Aug 31, 2023
US Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Apr 6, 2023
Estoril
C Clay · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shelton | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.47 | - |
| ROI % | +14.8% | - |
| Units P/L | +2.67u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shelton | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · Final
Aug 14
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Jakub Mensik
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 10
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Jenson Brooksby
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Alejandro Tabilo
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Luciano Darderi
Vienna · Round of 32
Oct 22
Ben Shelton
US Open · Round of 128
Aug 26
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Kitzbuhel · Round of 32
Jul 23
Juan Pablo Varillas
Gstaad · Round of 32
Jul 15
Gael Monfils
Mallorca · Round of 32
Jun 24
Otto Virtanen
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 22
Franco Agamenone
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 20
Thanasi Kokkinakis
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–55 matches
| Metric | Shelton | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | - |
| Sets won | 60% | - |
| Games won | 52% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shelton | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shelton | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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