Belinda Bencic vs Karolina MuchovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇭Belinda Bencic
#12 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 5–6
🇨🇿Karolina Muchova
#7 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Belinda Bencic and Karolina Muchova have met 4 times since 2022; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid in 2022 on clay. On hard courts Muchova leads 2–1. Across all meetings Bencic has taken 5 sets to Muchova's 6. Their most recent meeting: Belinda Bencic won at Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bencic | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Belinda Bencic | Karolina Muchova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 26/36 | 66% | 27/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 77% | 10/13 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 20/49 | 33% | 18/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 23/40 | 53% | 20/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 89% | 8/9 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 31/37 | 94% | 33/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 26/37 | 77% | 27/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bencic 0, Muchova 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bencic
👑 The Complete Package
Muchova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Belinda Bencic.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 24, 2025
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 1, 2025
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 22, 2023
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 3rd Round
Apr 30, 2022
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bencic | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Belinda Bencic | Karolina Muchova | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bencic | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.34 | 1.27 |
| ROI % | -9.2% | -10.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.55u | -0.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bencic | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muchova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Bencic's 50%).
| Opponent | Bencic | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 36 60 46 | L 36 06 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 61 76 | W 63 62 |
| Katie Boulter | W 60 75 | W 76 61 |
| Sinja Kraus | W 62 63 | W 63 60 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 60 | W 60 62 |
| Linda Noskova | L 36 63 67 | L 26 75 36 |
| Coco Gauff | L 64 36 46 | W 62 16 76 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 64 46 76 | W 63 64 |
| Madison Keys | L 64 36 26 | L 46 57 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 64 46 06 | W 64 26 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ann Li
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Anastasia Zakharova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Yulia Putintseva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Lois Boisson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Alexandra Eala
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Taylor Townsend
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Sloane Stephens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Coco Gauff
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Naomi Osaka
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Liudmila Samsonova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Katie Boulter
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Katie Boulter
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sinja Kraus
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–54 matches
| Metric | Bencic | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 76% |
| Sets won | 69% | 68% |
| Games won | 57% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bencic | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bencic | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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