Belinda Bencic vs Karolina MuchovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ญBelinda Bencic
#12 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
4 meetings ยท sets 5โ6

๐จ๐ฟKarolina Muchova
#7 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
7wBelinda Bencic and Karolina Muchova have met 4 times since 2022; they are level 2โ2. Their first meeting came at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid in 2022 on clay. On hard courts Muchova leads 2โ1. Across all meetings Bencic has taken 5 sets to Muchova's 6. Their most recent meeting: Belinda Bencic won at Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bencic | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Belinda Bencic | Karolina Muchova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 27/38 | 63% | 25/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 77% | 10/13 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 21/51 | 38% | 20/53 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 23/39 | 53% | 18/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 82% | 9/11 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 7/14 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 32/38 | 91% | 31/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 27/38 | 74% | 25/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bencic 0, Muchova 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bencic
๐ The Complete Package
Muchova
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ The Complete Package vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 24, 2025
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 1, 2025
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Feb 22, 2023
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Apr 30, 2022
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bencic | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Belinda Bencic | Karolina Muchova | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Bencic | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5โ1 | 8โ2 |
| Avg odds | 1.42 | 1.51 |
| ROI % | +11.2% | +16.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.67u | +1.63u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bencic | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 1 | โ |
| Matches | 3 | โ |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | โ |
| Route | CAN | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Bencic and Muchova posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Bencic | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 60 | W 60 62 |
| Linda Noskova | L 36 63 67 | L 26 75 36 |
| Coco Gauff | L 64 36 46 | W 62 16 76 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 64 46 76 | W 63 64 |
| Madison Keys | L 64 36 26 | L 46 57 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 64 46 06 | W 64 26 64 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 62 76 | L 62 16 26 |
| Elise Mertens | W 62 63 | W 16 63 60 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | W 63 64 | W 62 64 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 62 62 | L 61 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexandra Eala
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 4th Round
Aug 10
Taylor Townsend
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 8
Sloane Stephens
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Coco Gauff
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 5
Anna Kalinskaya
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Xi Yao Wang
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mika Stojsavljevic
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Elina Svitolina
French Open - Paris ยท 4th Round
May 31
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London ยท Final
Jul 11
Coco Gauff
Wimbledon - London ยท Semifinals
Jul 9
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Barbora Krejcikova
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 5
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Shuai Zhang
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Anastasia Zakharova
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg ยท Semifinals
Jun 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 51โ53 matches
| Metric | Bencic | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 75% |
| Sets won | 70% | 67% |
| Games won | 58% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bencic | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bencic | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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