Belinda Bencic vs Jasmine PaoliniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇭Belinda Bencic
#12 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 5–4
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#20 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
8wBelinda Bencic and Jasmine Paolini have met 4 times since 2022; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Billie Jean King Cup, Finals in 2022 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Bencic has taken 5 sets to Paolini's 4. Their most recent meeting: Belinda Bencic won at United Cup - Australia (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bencic | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Belinda Bencic | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 27/38 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 77% | 10/13 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 21/51 | 38% | 17/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 23/39 | 36% | 12/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 82% | 9/11 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 7/14 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 32/38 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 27/38 | 67% | 14/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bencic 2, Paolini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bencic
👑 The Complete Package
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 821 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 4, 2026
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 17, 2025
Ningbo Open - Ningbo
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Dec 29, 2024
United Cup
H Hard · Round Robin
Nov 9, 2022
Billie Jean King Cup, Finals
H Hard · Rubber 2
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bencic | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Belinda Bencic | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 3 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bencic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–1 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.42 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | +11.2% | +35.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.67u | +2.12u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bencic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CAN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bencic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Paolini's 60%).
| Opponent | Bencic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 60 | W 64 46 63 |
| Taylor Townsend | W 67 76 64 | W 63 16 62 |
| Coco Gauff | L 64 36 46 | L 36 26 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 75 60 | W 46 76 64 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 64 46 06 | W 36 64 64 |
| Solana Sierra | W 62 62 | L 63 46 36 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 62 67 63 | W 75 63 |
| Elise Mertens | W 62 63 | L 64 67 36 |
| Leolia Jeanjean | W 62 64 | W 67 62 64 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 16 76 36 | L 57 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexandra Eala
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Taylor Townsend
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Sloane Stephens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Coco Gauff
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Anna Kalinskaya
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Xi Yao Wang
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mika Stojsavljevic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Elina Svitolina
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
May 31
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–51 matches
| Metric | Bencic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 58% |
| Sets won | 70% | 53% |
| Games won | 58% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bencic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bencic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
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